欢迎访问《应用生态学报》官方网站,今天是 分享到:

应用生态学报 ›› 1999, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (2): 129-134.

• 研究论文 •    下一篇

应用神经网络和多元回归技术预测森林产量

浦瑞良1, 宫鹏1, R. Yang2   

  1. 1. 美国加利福尼亚大学森林与环境资源监测与评价中心, 伯克利 CA94720-3110;
    2. 加拿大国家林务局, 阿尔伯达 T6H3S5
  • 收稿日期:1999-01-22 修回日期:1999-02-26 出版日期:1999-03-25 发布日期:1999-03-25
  • 通讯作者: 浦瑞良,男,1956年生,1982年毕业于南京林业大学,1985年硕士毕业. E-mail:rpu@nature.berkeley.edu
  • 基金资助:

    国家杰出青年科学基金B类资助项目(49825511)和美国加州IHRMP资助项目.

Forest yield prediction with an artificial neural network and multiple regression

R. Pu1, P. Gong1, R. Yang2   

  1. 1. Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, 151 Hilgard Hall, University of California, Berkeley CA94720 3110 USA;
    2. Canadian Forest Service, Northwest Region Edmonton, Alberta, Canada T6H 3S5
  • Received:1999-01-22 Revised:1999-02-26 Online:1999-03-25 Published:1999-03-25

摘要: 应用传统统计技术常会因样本小和测量数据不符某种分布而受到限制。本文评价一种前馈型神经网络算法以预测落叶阔叶林产量。另外,还介绍一种由定性变为定量的数据变换方法,以用相对小的样本建立多元回归预测模型。数据变换方法有助于改善多元回归模型的预测效果。在本实验的条件下,研究结果表明神经网络技术能够产生最好的预测效果.

关键词: 神经网络, 多元回归, 森林产量预测, 数据变换

Abstract: Use of traditional statistical techniques is often limited by shortage of observation samples and difference in data measurement scales. Neural network techniques have been extensively explored in many fields for prediction and classification as an alternative to statistical methods. In this paper, a feed forward neural network algorithm for predicting hardwood yield is introduced and evaluated. In addition, we report a data transformation method developed for converting qualitative variable data to quantitative data for use in multiple regression when relatively few samples are available for building prediction models. The method that converts qualitative data into quantitative data is helpful to improve hardwood yield prediction accuracy by multiple linear regression models. In this study, the best prediction results using the neural network technique are obtained.

Key words: Neural network, Multiple regression, Forest yield prediction, Data tranformation