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应用生态学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (2): 381-387.doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.202002.026

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基于油松树轮重建陕西省镇安县165年以来3—4月平均最高气温

华亚伟, 张红娟, 刘康*   

  1. 西北大学城市与环境学院/陕西省地表系统与环境承载力重点实验室, 西安 710127
  • 收稿日期:2019-10-08 出版日期:2020-02-15 发布日期:2020-02-15
  • 通讯作者: * E-mail: liuk63@126.com
  • 作者简介:华亚伟, 男, 1994年生, 硕士研究生。主要从事树木年轮生态学与气候学研究。E-mail: 201720804@stumail.nwu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    本文由国家林业公益性行业科研专项(201304309)资助

Reconstruction of the March-April average maximum air temperature over 165 years based on Pinus tabuliformis tree-rings of Zhen’an County, Shaanxi Province, China

HUA Ya-wei, ZHANG Hong-juan, LIU Kang*   

  1. College of Urban and Environmental Science, Northwest Univer-sity/Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, Xi’an 710127, China
  • Received:2019-10-08 Online:2020-02-15 Published:2020-02-15
  • Contact: * E-mail: liuk63@126.com
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by the Special Project for Scientific Research of the National Forestry Public Welfare Industry (201304309).

摘要: 采集木王国家森林公园的油松树轮样芯,建立树轮宽度标准化年表(STD),与镇安气象站的气候因子进行相关分析,利用线性回归分析重建了镇安县1853—2017年(165年)3—4月平均最高气温。结果表明: 树轮序列与3—4月平均最高气温相关性最大(r=0.596,n=60,P<0.01)。3—4月平均最高气温重建方程的方差解释量为33.2%,重建方程稳定可靠,结果可信。重建序列中偏暖年份出现25次,偏冷年份出现29次,偏暖年份较多地伴随着洪涝事件,偏冷年份较多地伴随着干旱事件。重建序列存在明显的冷暖变化,存在2个偏冷时期(1902—1917年、1953—2000年)、4个偏暖时期(1868—1892年、1917—1937年、1941—1953年、2001—2012年)。重建序列有明显的2~7、8~15、18~28、75~96、100~125年周期变化特征,其中准113、88、22年的周期变化分别为时段内的第一、第二及第三主周期,这些周期性变化可能与太阳活动、季风和厄尔尼诺-南方涛动的变化存在一定的关系。

Abstract: We used tree rings of Pinus tabuliformis sampled in the Muwang National Forest Park to establish a standardized chronology (STD) and calculated the correlation coefficients between the standardized chronology and climatic factors of Zhen’an meteorological station. With linear regression analysis, we reconstructed the March-April mean maximum temperature of Zhen’an over 165 years from 1853 to 2017. The highest correlation coefficient was observed between the standardized chronology and the March-April mean maximum temperature (r=0.596, n=60, P<0.01). The variance interpretation of the March-April mean maximum temperature reconstruction function was 33.2%, and the reconstruction function and results were credible and reliable. Warm years occurred 25 times and cold years occurred 29 times in the reconstruction sequence. The warm years were more accompanied by flood events, while the cold years were accompanied by more drought events. Temperature fluctuated obviously in the reconstruction sequence, with two cold periods (1902-1917 and 1953-2000) and four warm periods (1868-1892, 1917-1937, 1941-1953 and 2001-2012). The obvious periodic variations of 2-7, 8-15, 18-28, 75-96, and 100-125 years were found in the reconstruction sequence, in which the quasi-113, 88 and 22 years were the first, second and third main periods, respectively. These variations might potentially be the fingerprints of some climate change forces such as solar activity, monsoon and EI Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity.