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西南地区水稻干旱时空分布特征

张建平1**,刘宗元1,2,何永坤1,罗红霞2,王靖3   

  1. 1重庆市气象科学研究所, 重庆 401147; 2西南大学地理科学学院, 重庆 400715; 3中国农业大学资源与环境学院, 北京 100193)
  • 出版日期:2015-10-18 发布日期:2015-10-18

Temporal and spatial distribution of rice drought in Southwest China.

ZHANG Jian-ping1, LIU Zong-yuan1,2, HE Yong-kun1, LUO Hong-xia2, WANG Jing3   

  1. (1Chongqing Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Chongqing 401147, China; 2Institute of Geographical Science, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715,
     China; 3College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China)
  • Online:2015-10-18 Published:2015-10-18

摘要: 从西南地区水稻生产特点和气候条件出发,改进相对湿润指数,建立计算偏离多年平均相对湿润指数值变化程度的湿润指数距平率(Mp)农业干旱监测模型,并采用农业干旱监测等级指标分析了1961—2010年西南地区水稻生育期间农业干旱时空分布特征,验证了Mp在西南地区水稻干旱监测方面的适用性.结果表明: 从年代际变化趋势来看,随着年代的增加,水稻受旱频率有降低趋势;从空间分布趋势来看,水稻受旱高频区主要分布在云南西北部和中东部,以及四川盆地东部、重庆东北部、贵州东南部局部区域;从各生长阶段发生干旱频率来看,水稻移栽至抽穗阶段发生干旱频率最高,其次是灌浆至成熟阶段,抽穗至灌浆期受旱频率最低.湿润指数距平率能较好地监测西南地区水稻的受旱情况,对于缺乏灌溉资料的地区采用该方法进行水稻干旱监测具有一定的实用价值.

Abstract: Considering the characteristics of rice production and climate conditions in Southwest China, an agricultural drought monitoring model based on wetness index anomaly rate
 (Mp) by calculating the variation of deviation from average values of relative humid index was established, and was used to analyze the spatialtemporal distribution characteristics of the rice drought during the growth season in Southwest China in the past 50 years (1961-2010). The applicability of the Mp model in Southwest China was verified by using this model to monitor the rice drought. The result showed there was a decreasing trend in the frequency of rice drought in term of the decadal variability. The areas with high drought risk mainly concentrated in northwestern and mideastern Yunnan Province, eastern Sichuan Basin, northeastern Chongqing City, and southeastern Guizhou Province. The drought frequency was highest at the stage from transplanting to tasseling, followed by the stage from grain filling to maturity, and was lowest at the stage from tasseling to grain filling. Mp was suitable for monitoring the rice drought in Southwest China, and could be used as a reference for the rice planting areas without irrigation data.