欢迎访问《生态学杂志》官方网站,今天是 分享到:

生态学杂志 ›› 1992, Vol. ›› Issue (5): 20-24,37.

• 研究报告 • 上一篇    下一篇

祁连山森林生态环境与黑河流域径流量的灰色关联分析和拓扑预测

车克钧, 贺红元   

  1. 甘肃省张掖祁连山水源林研究所, 734000
  • 收稿日期:1990-06-30 出版日期:1992-10-10

Grey Connectivity Analysis and Topological Prediction of Forest Eco-Environment at Qilian Mountains and Runoff Amount in Heihe River Basin

Che Kejun, He Hongyuan   

  1. Qilian Mountains Institute of Forest for Conservation of Water Sources, Zhangye, Gansu Province 734000
  • Received:1990-06-30 Online:1992-10-10

Abstract: GM(1,1) model groups for predicting runoff amount of Heine River basin on northern slope of the Qilian Mountains are built up with grey system theory. The forest eco-environmental factors influencing runoff amount of Heihe River are analyzed, their connectivities are: precipitation≥0℃ accumulated temperature>forest eco-hydrological factors. The runoff amounts of Heihe River in 1989-2005 and their fluctuation trends are predicted, which provides scientific bases for rational development and utilization of water resources in industry and agriculture.