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1962—2011年来宁夏不同等级降水的变化特征

李菲,张明军**,李小飞,汪宝龙,王圣杰,王琼   

  1. (西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院, 兰州 730070)
  • 出版日期:2013-08-10 发布日期:2013-08-10

Variation characteristics of different-level precipitation in Ningxia of Southwest China in 1962-2011. 

LI Fei, ZHANG Ming-jun**, LI Xiao-fei, WANG Bao-long, WANG Sheng-jie, WANG Qiong   

  1. (College of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China)
  • Online:2013-08-10 Published:2013-08-10

摘要: 为了了解宁夏地区不同等级降水的结构特征,以1962—2011年宁夏地区9个气象台站逐日降水资料为基础,运用线性趋势法、相关分析法、Hurst趋势分析法及IDW空间插值法,分析了宁夏地区不同等级降水量、降水日数和降水强度的变化特征。结果表明:年降水量、降水日数整体呈减少趋势,而年降水强度则表现为微弱增加,未来的年降水量将呈反持续性,而年降水日数、降水强度则表现为持续性;从空间变化来看,受不同因素影响,年降水量、降水日数及降水强度均表现为由南至北的减少趋势,且降水量、降水日数的空间分布具有一致性;从时间变化来看,夏季降水量丰、降水日数多、降水强度大,其中暴雨的降水强度最大,冬季则降水量枯、日数少、强度小;年、季不同等级降水事件气候趋势分析表明,年降水量和降水日数呈减小趋势,而受冬、夏、秋小雨及暴雨的影响,年降水强度呈微弱增加之势。

关键词: 微生物社会学, 公共物质, 种群稳定, 细菌交流, 社会进化

Abstract: Based on the daily precipitation data from 9 meteorological stations in Ningxia in 1962-2011, and by using linear trend method, correlation analysis, Hurst trend analysis method, and IDW spatial interpolation method, this paper analyzed the variation characteristics of different levels precipitation, precipitation days, and precipitation intensity, aimed to understand the structural characteristics of different levels precipitation in Ningxia. Overall, the annual precipitation and the precipitations days showed a decreasing trend, while the annual precipitation intensity had a slight increase. In the future, the annual precipitation would be reversely persistent, while the precipitation days and precipitation intensity would be persistent. Spatially, due to the effects of different factors, the annual precipitation, precipitation days, and precipitation intensity decreased from southeast to northwest, and the spatial pattern of the precipitation and precipitation days was in consistency. Temporally, the precipitation in summer was abundant, precipitation days were more, and precipitation intensity was large, with the largest precipitation intensity of rainstorm. In winter, the precipitation was short, precipitation days were less, and precipitation intensity was small. The climate change trend analysis of different levels precipitation events on different time scales showed that the annual precipitation and precipitation days presented a decreasing trend, while the annual precipitation intensity, as affected by the light rain and storm rain in winter, summer and autumn, showed a slight increase.

Key words: socio-microbiology, public goods, stabilization of population., bacterial communication, social evolution