Time-series characteristics of drought and flood in spring soybean growing season and its effect on soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province, China

doi:10.13287/j.1001-9332.202004.016

Abstract

Abstract: Under the background of climate change, the spatial-temporal distribution of precipita-tion in Heilongjiang Province is uneven, and drought and flood frequently change, which is not conducive to the safety of soybean production for the province. To clarify the influence mechanism of drought and flood in the growing season on soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province, we analyzed the time-series characteristics of drought and flood in soybean growing season and its effect on soybean yield in different growth stages, based on data of daily precipitation from 60 meteorological stations during 1961 to 2018 and soybean yield in the same period, with the standardized precipitation index (SPI) as the drought and flood evaluation index. The results showed that, from 1961 to 2018, the influence range of drought in soybean growing season in Heilongjiang Province showed a weak decreasing trend, while that of flood showed a weak increasing trend. In the same period, the intensity of both drought and flood showed a weak increasing trend, with slightly stronger role of flood intensity. The probability of the co-occurrence of drought and flood accounted for 60.3%. The soybean growing season in Heilongjiang Province may become wetter. From 2012 to 2018, the influence range and occurrence intensity of flood were significantly higher than that of drought, six years of the whole or regional flood occurred, in which five years were moderate degrees. The effects of drought and flood on soybean yield differed across regions in soybean growing season. The effect of flood on soybean yield was significantly stronger than that of drought in the Northwest, North and East, and were similar in the Midland, while in the Southwest, South and Southeast, the effect of drought was much greater than that of flood. The fluctuation of soybean yield was closely related to drought and flood during bloom-seed-filling period. Among them, in the Northwest, Southwest, Midland, South and Southeast of Heilongjiang, soybean yield would reach a high level when there was a little bit more precipitation, but the moderate and above-moderate levels of flood would cause the reduction. In the North, the fluctuation of soybean yield was mainly affected by flood, while in the East, the effects of drought and flood on soybean yield were similar.

LI Xiu-fen, GUO Zhao-bin, ZHU Hai-xia, WANG Ping, GONG Li-juan, JIANG Li-xia, ZHAO Hui-ying. Time-series characteristics of drought and flood in spring soybean growing season and its effect on soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2020, 31(4): 1223-1232.

References 36

[1]	吴俊彦. 播期对黑河主栽大豆生育进程和产量及品质的影响. 硕士论文. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2013 [Wu J-Y. Effect of Sowing Date on the Growth, Yield and Quality of Main Soybean Varieties in Heihe. Master Thesis. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Scien-ces, 2013]
[2]	高永刚. 黑龙江省1967—2007年极端气温与降水综合强度的时空特征分析. 资源科学, 2012, 34(11): 2170-2180 [Gao Y-G. Synthetical intensity characteristics of interdecadal extreme air temperature and precipitation events in Heilongjiang Province from 1967 to 2007. Resources Science, 2012, 34(11): 2170-2180]
[3]	姜丽霞, 朱海霞, 闫敏慧, 等. 黑龙江省主汛期异常降水变化及其与洪涝的关系研究. 灾害学, 2019, 34(2): 1-6 [Jiang L-X, Zhu H-X, Yan M-H, et al. Changes of abnormal rainfall and relationship between precipitation and flood during main flood season of Heilongjiang Province. Journal of Catastrophology, 2019, 34(2): 1-6]
[4]	杨晓静, 徐宗学, 左德鹏, 等. 东北三省近55a旱涝时空演变特征. 自然灾害学报, 2016, 25(4): 9-19 [Yang X-J, Xu Z-X, Zuo D-P, et al. Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of drought-waterlogging in three provinces of Northeast China in past 55 years. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2016, 25(4): 9-19]
[5]	杨晓娟, 刘园, 白薇, 等. 黑龙江大豆生产时空分析与风险评估. 干旱地区农业研究, 2016, 34(2): 201-205 [Yang X-J, Liu Y, Bai W, et al. Spatial and temporal analysis of soybean production and its risk assessment in Heilongjiang. Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas, 2016, 34(2): 201-205]
[6]	姜丽霞, 王萍, 李帅, 等. 黑龙江省土壤湿度的气候响应及其与大豆产量的关系. 干旱地区农业研究, 2011, 29(1): 34-40 [Jiang L-X, Wang P, Li S, et al. Responses of soil moisture to climate change and relationship between soil moisture and soybean yield in Heilongjiang. Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas, 2011, 29(1): 34-40]
[7]	温丹苹, 李静, 何朋飞. 黑龙江省农业气象灾害与大豆产量的灰色关联分析. 自然灾害学报, 2017, 26(4): 59-65 [Wen D-P, Li J, He P-F. Grey correlation analysis of agro-meteorological disasters and soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2017, 26(4): 59-65]
[8]	姜丽霞, 李帅, 李秀芬, 等. 黑龙江省近三十年气候变化对大豆发育和产量的影响. 大豆科学, 2011, 30(6): 921-926 [Jiang L-X, Li S, Li X-F, et al. Impacts of climate change on development and yield of soybean over past 30 years in Heilongjiang Province. Soybean Science, 2011, 30(6): 921-926]
[9]	杨晓强, 张立群, 李帅, 等. 1980—2008年黑龙江省气候变暖及其对大豆种植的影响. 气象与环境学报, 2013, 29(2): 96-100 [Yang X-Q, Zhang L-Q, Li S, et al. Climate warming and its effect on soybean from 1980 to 2008 in Heilongjiang Province. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2013, 29(2): 96-100]
[10]	王畅, 赵海东, 冯乃杰, 等. 两个生态区大豆光热资源利用率和产量的差异及对化控剂的响应. 应用生态学报, 2018, 29(11): 3615-3624 [Wang C, Zhao H-D, Feng N-J, et al. Differences in light and heat utilization efficiency and yield of soybean in two ecological zones and their response to chemical control regulators. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2018, 29(11): 3615-3624]
[11]	崔振才, 沈展能. 哈尔滨地区降水量对大豆产量影响研究. 东北农业大学学报, 2003, 34(1): 30-33 [Cui Z-C, Shen Z-N. Study on effects of rainfall quantity to soybean’s yield in Harbin district. Journal of Northeast Agricultural University, 2003, 34(1): 30-33]
[12]	赵坤. 干旱胁迫条件下春大豆生理生化特性研究. 硕士论文. 哈尔滨: 东北农业大学, 2010 [Zhao K. Research on the Physiological and Biochemical Characteristics of Spring Soybean under Drought Stress. Master Thesis. Harbin: Northeast Agricultural University, 2010]
[13]	刘丽君, 林浩, 唐晓飞, 等. 干旱胁迫对不同生育阶段大豆产量形态建成的影响. 大豆科学, 2011, 30(3): 405-412 [Liu L-J, Lin H, Tang X-F, et al. Drought stress influence soybean yield morphogenesis in different growth stages. Soybean Science, 2011, 30(3): 405-412]
[14]	葛慧玲, 龚振平, 马春梅, 等. 干旱处理对土壤水分变化及大豆产量的影响. 灌溉排水学报, 2012, 31(4): 131-135 [Ge H-L, Gong Z-P, Ma C-M, et al. Effect of drought treatments on soil moisture and yield in soybean. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2012, 31(4): 131-135]
[15]	霍建玲, 邢雪莹, 杨雪, 等. 干旱对黑龙江省大豆品种农艺性状的影响. 分子植物育种, 2018, 16(5): 1668-1676 [Huo J-L, Xing X-Y, Yang X, et al. Effects of drought stress on agronomic traits of soybean cultivars from Heilongjiang Province. Molecular Plant Breeding, 2018, 16(5): 1668-1676]
[16]	朱海霞, 李秀芬, 赵慧颖, 等. 黑龙江省大豆生长季干旱时空格局. 干旱地区农业研究, 2019, 37(2):235-243 [Zhu H-X, Li X-F, Zhao H-Y, et al. Spatial-temporal characteristics of drought during growing periods of soybean in Heilongjiang Province. Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas, 2019, 37(2): 235-243]
[17]	王萍, 闫平, 李秀芬, 等. 黑土区土壤水分含量对大豆产量构成因素的影响. 气象与环境学报, 2019, 35(5): 115-122 [Wang P, Yan P, Li X-F, et al. Effects of soil moisture on yield components of soybean in black soil area. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2019, 35(5): 115-122]
[18]	刘彦平, 蔡焕杰. 基于标准化降水指数SPI的泾惠渠灌区干旱演变对冬小麦气候产量的影响. 干旱地区农业研究, 2015, 33(3): 267-272 [Liu Y-P, Cai H-J. Effect of drought evolution on climatic yield of winter wheat based on SPI in Jinghuiqu Irrigation District. Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas, 2015, 33(3): 267-272]
[19]	徐慧, 张方敏, 黄进. 江苏省1961—2012年干湿时空变化及对单季稻产量的潜在影响. 水土保持研究, 2017, 24(6): 250-254 [Xu H, Zhang F-M, Huang J. Spatiotemporal variation of dryness/wetness in Jiangsu Province during 1961-2012 and its possible impacts on single-crop rice yield. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2017, 24(6): 250-254]
[20]	刘维, 李祎君, 何亮, 等. 基于SPI判定的东北春玉米生长季干旱对产量的影响. 农业工程学报, 2018, 34(22): 121-127 [Liu W, Li Y-J, He L, et al. Effect of growing season drought on spring maize yields in Northeast China based on standardized precipitation index. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2018, 34(22): 121-127]
[21]	McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Procee-dings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, Boston, MA, USA, 1993: 179-183
[22]	Kumar MN, Murthy CS, Sai MVRS, et al. On the use of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for drought intensity assessment. Meteorological Applications, 2009, 16: 381-389
[23]	中华人民共和国国家质量监督检验检疫总局,中国国家标准化管理委员会. 气象干旱等级(GB/T 20481—2017). 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2017 [General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine of the People’s Republic of China, China National Standardization Administration. Grades of Meteorological Drought (GB/T 20481-2017). Beijing: China Standards Press, 2017]
[24]	史建国, 严昌荣, 何文清, 等. 气象干旱指数计算方法研究概述. 中国农业气象, 2007, 28(增刊): 191-195 [Shi J-G, Yan G-R, He W-Q, et al. Overview on calculation methods of meteorological drought index. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2007, 28(suppl.): 191-195]
[25]	韩志慧, 刘小刚, 郝琨, 等. 基于SPI 指数的内蒙古地区干旱演变特征及趋势预测. 排灌机械工程学报, 2017, 35(5): 430-439 [Han Z-H, Liu X-G, Hao K, et al. Drought evolution characteristics and trend prediction in Inner Mongolia based on standardized precipita-tion index. Journal of Drainage and Irrigation Machinery Engineering, 2017, 35(5): 430-439]
[26]	Wu H, Hubbard KG, Wilhite DA. An agricultural drought risk-assessment model for corn and soybeans. International Journal of Climatology, 2004, 24: 723-741
[27]	中国气象局. 中华人民共和国气象行业标准,QX/T 81—2007. 小麦干旱灾害等级. 北京: 气象出版社, 2007 [China Meteorological Administration. Meteorological Industry Standard of the People’s Republic of China, QX/T 81-2007. Disaster Grade of Drought for Wheat. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2007]
[28]	马树庆. 吉林省农业气候研究. 北京: 气象出版社, 1996 [Ma S-Q. Agroclimatic Studies in Jilin Province. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 1996]
[29]	Zhang Q, Sun P, Singh VP, et al. Spatial-temporal precipitation changes (1956-2000) and their implications for agriculture in China. Global and Planetary Change, 2012, 82-83: 86-95
[30]	孙滨峰, 赵红, 王效科. 基于标准化降水蒸发指数(SPEI) 的东北干旱时空特征. 生态环境学报, 2015, 24(1): 22-28 [Sun B-F, Zhao H, Wang X-K. Spatiotemporal characteristics of drought in Northeast China based on SPEI. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2015, 24(1): 22-28]
[31]	胡琦, 董蓓, 潘学标, 等. 1961—2014年中国干湿气候时空变化特征及成因分析. 农业工程学报, 2017, 33(6): 124-132 [Hu Q, Dong B, Pan X-B, et al. Spatiotemporal variation and causes analysis of dry-wet climate over period of 1961-2014 in China. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2017, 33(6): 124-132]
[32]	贾艳青, 张勃. 1960—2016年中国北方地区极端干湿事件演变特征. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(7): 1543-1554 [Jia Y-Q, Zhang B. Spatio-temporal changes of the extreme drought and wet events in Northern China from 1960 to 2016. Journal of Natural Resources, 2019, 34(7): 1543-1554]
[33]	鲁菁, 张玉虎, 高峰, 等. 近40年三江平原极端降水时空变化特征分析. 水土保持研究, 2019, 26(2): 272-282 [Lu J, Zhang Y-H, Gao F, et al. Temporal and spatial variation characteristics of extreme precipitation in the Sanjiang Plain in recent 40 years. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2019, 26(2): 272-282]
[34]	王畅, 赵海东, 冯乃杰, 等. 两个生态区大豆光热资源利用率和产量的差异及对化控剂的响应. 应用生态学报, 2018, 29(11): 3615-3624 [Wang C, Zhao H-D, Feng N-J, et al. Differences in light and heat utilization efficiency and yield of soybean in two ecological zones and their response to chemical control regulators. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2018, 29(11): 3615-3624]
[35]	高玉中, 王承伟, 王冀, 等. 黑龙江省气温演变及未来趋势分析. 冰川冻土, 2018, 40(2): 270-278 [Gao Y-Z, Wang C-W, Wang J, et al. An analysis of air temperature evolution and its future trend in Heilongjiang Province. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2018, 40(2): 270-278]
[36]	徐一丹, 任传友, 马熙达, 等. 基于SPI/SPEI指数的东北地区多时间尺度干旱变化特征对比分析. 干旱区研究, 2017, 34(6): 1250-1262 [Xu Y-D, Ren C-Y, Ma X-D, et al. Change of drought at multiple temporal scales based on SPI/SPEI in Northeast China. Arid Zone Research, 2017, 34(6): 1250-1262]