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MO Zhi-hong1,2, HUO Zhi-guo2**, YE Cai-hua1, WU Chun-yan1, LI Hui-jun1, QUAN Wei-jun1, TANG Guang1
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Abstract: Based on daily observed data of 20 meteorological stations from 1960 to 2011 and historical freeze injury records in Beijing region, freeze injury index (FI) of winter wheat was established by principal component analysis. Methods of empirical orthogonal function (EOF), Morlet wavelet transform analysis and MannKendall test were used to analyze the spatialtemporal distribution characteristics of freeze injury to winter wheat during overwintering stage, and the comprehensive climatic risk index was synthesized to study the climatic risk zonation of freeze injury in the region. Historical freeze injury of winter wheat could be actually characterized by the FI in Beijing region; the greater the FI was, the more serious freeze injury would occur. In the past 52 years, the trend of annual FI was declined significantly (P<0.01), and the variation of annual FI was obviously increased but the main eigenperiod of freeze injury was tended to be shortened. The climatic risk probability of freeze injury ranged from 32.1% to 82.8% in Beijing region, and the probabilities of slight, moderate and severe freeze injury were 21.5%, 17.4% and 17.3%, respectively. The lowrisk area of freeze injury was mainly located in Changping district, while the highrisk areas of freeze injury were mainly located in southeast of Huairou, southwest of Miyun, northeast of Shunyi and Pinggu districts, and the rest of majority areas were moderaterisk zones of freeze injury in wheat production in Beijing region.
MO Zhi-hong1,2, HUO Zhi-guo2**, YE Cai-hua1, WU Chun-yan1, LI Hui-jun1, QUAN Wei-jun1, TANG Guang1. Spatialtemporal distribution and climatic risk zonation of freeze injury of winter wheat during overwintering stage in Beijing region.[J]. cje.
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URL: http://www.cje.net.cn/EN/abstract/abstract21232.shtml
http://www.cje.net.cn/EN/Y2013/V32/I12/3197