Current situation and some intending problems of landscape spatial dynamic model

Abstract

Abstract: Along with the rapid development of remote sensing,geographic information system,computer and other supporting technologies,model approach has become the major method of landscape dynamic study.Based on literature review,this paper analyzed the current situation and some intending problems of the development of landscape spatial dynamic model.Three kinds of models,i.e.,stochastic landscape model,neighborhood rule model and landscape process model (including percolation model,individual-based landscape model and spatial ecosystem model) were mainly introduced,and their development status,existing problems and related improvement work were analyzed.The development of model test technologies,such as verification analysis,validation analysis,and sensitivity analysis,were also analyzed.Finally,this paper summed up six major problems that should be dealt with in the future development of the landscape spatial dynamic models.These problems included model arithmetic optimization,scale conversion,model complication and predigesting,model test and assessment,bringing forward of general model,and integration of the traditional model with social-economic factors.

CLC Number:

Q149

LI Shujuan, ZENG Hui, XIA Jie, ZHANG Lei. Current situation and some intending problems of landscape spatial dynamic model[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2004, (4): 701-706.

References

1] Addiscott TM,Mirza NA.1998.New paradigms for modeling mass transfer in soils,Soil Tillage Res,47:105～109
[2] Baker WL,Mladenoff DJ.1999.Progress and future directions in spatial modeling of forest landscapes.In: Mladenoff DJ & Baker WM.Spatial Modeling of Forest Landscape Change Approaches and Applications.New York: Cambridge University Press.333～349
[3] Balzter H,Braun PW.1998.et al.Cellular automata models for vegetation dynamics.Ecol Model,107:113～125
[4] Chang Y(常禹),Bu R-C(布仁仓).2001.Geographic information system and individual-based spatial explicit landscape model.Chin JEcol(生态学杂志),20(2):61～65(in Chinese)
[5] Childress WM,Rykiel EJ,et al.1996.Transition rule complexity in grid- based automata models.Landscape Ecol,11 ( 5 ): 257～266
[6] Dunning JB,Stewart DJ,et al.1995.Spatially explicit population models: current forms and future uses.Ecol Appl,5: 3～11
[7] Fall A,Fall J.2001.A domain-specific language for models of landscape dynamics.Ecol Model,137:1～21
[8] Fu B-J(傅伯杰),et al.2001.TheTheory and Application of Landscape Ecology.Beijing: Science Press.( in Chinese)
[9] Gardner RH,O' Neill RV.1991.Pattern,process,and predictability: the use of neutral models for landscape analysis.In:Turner MG,Gardner RH.eds.Quantitative Methods in Landscape Ecology.New York: Springer-Verlag.
[10] Gardner RH,Romme WH,et al.1999.Predicting forest fire effects at landscape scales.In: Mladenoff DJ & Baker WM.eds.Spatial Modeling of Forest Landscape Change Approaches and Applications.New York: Cambridge University Press.165～183
[11] Gerard BM,Heuvelink.1998.Uncertainty analysis in environmental modelling under a change of spatial scale.Nutri Cycl Agroecosyst,50:255～264
[12] Grimm V,Wyszomirski T,et al.1999.Individual-based modeling and ecological theory: synthesis of a workshop.Ecol Model,155:275～282
[13] Grimm V.1999.Ten years of individual-based modelling in ecology:what have we learned and what could we learn in the future?Ecol Model,115:129～148
[14] Hargis CD,Bissonette JA,and David JL.1998.The behaviour of landscape metrics commonly used in the study of habitat fragmentation.Landscape Ecol,13:167～186
[15] Hiebeler D.2000.Populations on fragmented landscapes with spatially structured heterogeneities: Landscape generation and local dispersal.Ecology,81(6): 1629～1641
[16] Hobbs NT.1993.Effects of landscape fragmentation on ecosystem processes in the Western Australian wheatbelt.Biol Conserv,64(3): 193～201
[17] Jia H(贾华),Zhu G-R(祝国瑞),et al.1998.The mechanism research on land use conversions based on cellular automata and grey situation decision rules.J Wuhan Techn Univ Surveying and Mapping(武汉测绘科技大学学报),24(2):166～169(in Chinese)
[18] Knox RG,Kalb V,Levine ER.1997.A problem solving workbench for interactive simulation of ecosystems.IEEE Computing Sci Engin,4(3) :52～60
[19] Kok K,Farrow A,et al.2001.A method and application of multiscale validation in spatial land use models.Agric Ecosyst Environ,85: 223～238
[20] Letcher BH,Priddy JA,et al.1998.An individual-based,spatially explicit simulation model of the population dynamics of the endangered red-cockaded woodpecker,Picoides borealis .Biol Conser,86:1～14
[21] Li BL.1995.Stability analysis of a nonhomogencous Markovian landscape model.Ecol Model,82 (3): 247～256
[22] Li H-B(李哈滨),Wu Y-G(伍业钢).1992.Quantitiation research methods of landscape ecology.In:Liu J-G(刘建国).Advances in Modern Ecology.Beijing: China Sciences and Technology Press.209～233 (in Chinese)
[23] Li X-Z(李秀珍).2000.The hot points andforefronts ofthe development of landscape ecology from the 15th American Assoiation for Landscape Ecology.Acta Ecol Sin(生态学报),20(6):1113～1115(in Chinese)
[24] Lopez E,Bocco G,Mendoza M,et al.2001.Predicting land-cover and land-use change in the urban fringe: A case in Moralia city,Mexico.Landscape and Urban Planning,55: 271～285
[25] Messina JP,Walsh SJ.2001.D Morphogenesis: modeling landuse and landcover dynamics in the Ecuadorian Amazon.Plant Ecol,156:75～88
[26] Mladenoff DJ,Baker WL.1999.Development of forest and landscape modeling approaches.In: Mladenoff DJ & Baker WM.eds Spatial Modeling of Forest Landscape Change Approaches and Applications.New York:Cambridge University Press.1～13
[27] Muller MR,Middleton J.1994.A markov model of land-use change dynamics in the Niagara Region,Ontario,Canada.Landscape Ecol,9:151～157
[28] Ollinger SV,Aber JD,Federer CA.1998.Estimating regional forest productivity and water yield using an ecosystem model linked to a GIS.Landscape Ecol,13: 323～334
[29] Parks PJ.1991.Models of forested and agricultural landscape: integrating economics.In: Turner MG,Gardner RH.eds.Quantitative Methods in Landscape Ecology.New York: Springer-Verlag.309～322
[30] Qureshi ME,Harrison SR,Wegene MK.1999.Validation of multicriteria analysis models.Agric Systems,62:105～116
[31] Rykiel EJ.1996.Testing ecological models: the meaning of validation.Ecol Model,94:7～16
[32] Saura S,Martinez-Millan J.2000.Landscape patterns simulation with a modified random clusters method.Landscape Ecol,15:661～678
[33] Schumaker NH.1996.Using landscape indices to predict habitat connectivity.Ecology,77:1210～1225
[34] Silvertown J,Holtier S,Johnson J,Dale P.1992.Cellular automaton models of interspecific competetion for space -the effect of pattern on process.J Ecol,80( 3 ): 527～534
[35] Sklar FH,Costanza R.1991.Forest landscape model,the development of dynamics spatial models for landscape ecology: A review and progress.In: Turner MG,Gardner RH.eds.Quantitative Methods in Landscape Ecology.New York: Springer-Verlag.263～288
[36] Sui,DZ,Zeng H.2001.Modeling the dynamics of landscape structure in Asia' s emerging desakota regions: a case study in Shenzheng.Landscape and Planning,53: 37～52
[37] Urban DL,Acevedo MF,Garman SL.1999.Scaling fine-scale processes to large-scale patterns using models derived from models:meta-models.In:Mladenoff DJ & Baker WM.Spatial Modeling of Forest Landscape Change Approaches and Applications.New York:Cambridge University Press.70～98
[38] Verbcom J,Wamelink W.1999.The application of spatial simulation in landscape ecology,In:Wions JA,Moss M.eds.Issues in Landscape Ecology.Colorado: Pioneer Press of Greeley.38～44
[39] With KA,Gardner RH and Turner MG.1997.Landscape connectivity and population distributions in heterogeneous environments.Oikos,78:151～169
[40] With KA,King AW.1997.The use and misuse of neutral landscape models in ecology.Oikos,79:219～229
[41] Wu F.1998.Simulating urban encroachment on rural land with fuzzy-logic-controlled cellular automata in a geographical information system.J Environ Man,53: 293～308
[42] Wu J-G(邬建国).2000.Landscape ecology-concepts and theories.Chin J Ecol(生态学杂志),19(1):42～52(in Chinese)
[43] Wu J-G(邬建国).2000.Landscape Ecology:Pattern,Process,Scale and Hierarchy.Beijing:Higher Education Press.(in Chinese)
[44] Xiao D-N(肖笃宁),Li X-Z(李秀珍).1997.Development and prospect of contemporarylandscape ecology.Sci Geogra Sin(地理科学),17(4):356 364(in Chinese)
[45] Xiao D-N(肖笃宁).1994.Characteristics and methods of macropic ecological research.Chin J Appl Ecol(应用生态学报),5(1):95～102(in Chinese)
[46] Yang H-X(阳含熙),et al.1988.Markov chain model of succession of the mixed broadleaf Korean pine forest at Changbaishan Biosphere Reserves in China.Acta Ecol Sin(生态学报),8(3):211～219( in Chinese)
[47]Zhang X-F(张显锋),Cui H-W(崔宏伟).2000.Spatio-temporal analysis and modeling based on the integration of GIS and CA model.J image Graphics(中国图象图形学报),5A(12):1012～1018(in chinese)

[1]	HE Xingyuan, HU Zhibin, LI Yuehui, HU Yuanman . Dynamics of soil erosion at upper reaches of Minjiang River based on GIS [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(12): 2271-2278.
[2]	FANG Shubo, XIAO Duning, AN Shuqing . Regional ecosecurity pattern in urban area based on land use analysis:A case study in Lanzhou [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(12): 2284-2290.
[3]	FAN Wenyi, GONG Wenfeng, LIU Dandan, ZHOU Hongze, ZHU Ning . Application of 3S techniques in ecological landscape planning of Harbin suburb [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(12): 2291-2295.
[4]	WANG Cheng, WEI Chaofu, GAO Ming, LUO Guanglian, JIANG Wei . Effects of land use structure change on regional ecological health-Taking Shapingba County of Chongqing as an example [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(12): 2296-2300.
[5]	CAI Tijiu, JU Cunyong, YAO Yuefeng . Quantitative estimation of vegetation coverage in Mu Us sandy land based on RS and GIS [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(12): 2301-2305.
[6]	SUN Yanci, ZHANG Xuelei, CHEN Jie . Impact of urbanization on pedodiversity in Suzhou area [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(11): 2060-2065.
[7]	LI Zhengguo, WANG Yanglin, ZHANG Xiaofei, WU Jiansheng. Spatial-temporal dynamics of landscape fragmentation in North Shannxi Loess Plateau [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(11): 2066-2070.
[8]	LI Shoucheng, LIU Wenquan, CHENG Xu, Erle C.Ellis . Characteristic study on village landscape patterns in Sichuan Basin hilly region based on high resolution IKONOS remote sensing [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(10): 1830-1837.
[9]	XIE Gaodi, ZHEN Lin, YANG Li, GUO Guangmeng . Landscape stability and its pattern transition in Jinghe watershed [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(9): 1693-1698.
[10]	WEI Jianbing, XIAO Duning. Landscape pattern and its functioning after ecological reconstruction in black soil region of northeast China [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(9): 1699-1705.
[11]	XIE Fuju, XIAO Duning, LI Xiuzhen, WEI Jianbing, WANG Xugao. Forest landscape restoration and its affecting factors in burned area of northern Great Xing′an Mountains—Taking forest coverage as an example [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(9): 1711-1718.
[12]	LIU Miao, HU Yuanman, BU Renchang, CHANG Yu, HAN Wenquan, HU Zhibin. Landscape change in Kangbao County of Hebei Province [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(9): 1724-1728.
[13]	SUN Yajie, WANG Qingxu, LU Zhaohua . Effects of urbanization on landscape pattern of Beijing [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(7): 1366-1369.
[14]	CAO Yu, OUYANG Hua, XIAO Duning . Landscape health assessment on Ejin natural oasis [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(6): 1117-1121.
[15]	HE Hao, PAN Yaozhong, ZHU Wenquan, LIU Xulong, ZHANG Qing, ZHU Xiufang . Measurement of terrestrial ecosystem service value in China [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(6): 1122-1127.