Temporal and spatial characteristics and correlation of the coordinated development of economy, society and ecological environment in the Yangtze River Delta, China

doi:10.13287/j.1001-9332.202207.026

Abstract

Abstract: The imbalance of regional development is one of the important obstacles for the implementation of regio-nal coordinated development strategy. Based on the panel data of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2010 to 2019, the regional coordinated development index system with five subsystems was constructed, including economic development, science and education, infrastructure, people’s life, and resource and environment. With the help of GeoDa and ArcGIS software, we used measurement model of regional coordinated development and method of exploratory spatial data analysis to analyze the temporal and spatial variations and internal correlation of various elements of regional coordinated development in the Yangtze River Delta. The results showed that, from the perspective of regional development, the coordination of regional development in the Yangtze River Delta had increased annually from 2010 to 2019. The level of economic development and science and education in Shanghai and Suzhou was ahead of other cities, while the development coordination of Northwest Anhui, Zhoushan and Huangshan was weaker than other cities. The order of average autocorrelation degree of each subsystem from high to low in the Yangtze River Delta from 2010 to 2019 was people’s life, economic development, resource and environment, science and education, and infrastructure. Among them, the global Moran’s index (Moran I) of economic development and science and education subsystem showed a downward trend, while science and education subsystem showed no significant correlation. Moran I of infrastructure subsystem was mostly at the low level with a great fluctuation in different years. People’s life had obvious spatial characteristics of high-high and low-low agglomeration. The global Moran I of resources and environment showed a pattern of “V” distribution. Economic development and science and education were the two factors most closely related to regional coordinated development.

Key words: Yangtze River Delta, coordinated regional development, spatiotemporal differentiation, spatial autocorrelation

KONG Fan-bin, YUAN Ru-xue, XU Cai-yao. Temporal and spatial characteristics and correlation of the coordinated development of economy, society and ecological environment in the Yangtze River Delta, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2022, 33(7): 2009-2016.

References

[1] 张荐华, 高军. 中国改革开放40年中的区域经济发展不平衡问题与对策研究. 当代经济管理, 2019, 41(2): 9-14
[2] 刘锴, 周雅慧, 王嵩, 等. 创新驱动下中国区域高质量发展——基于平衡充分发展水平的门槛分析. 技术经济, 2020, 39(12): 1-8
[3] 孙志燕, 侯永志. 对我国区域不平衡发展的多视角观察和政策应对. 管理世界, 2019, 35(8): 1-8
[4] 李湛, 张彦. 长三角一体化的演进及其高质量发展逻辑. 华东师范大学学报: 哲学社会科学版, 2020, 52(5): 146-156
[5] 曾刚, 耿成轩, 翁旻. 京津冀战略性新兴产业集聚对区域经济增长的空间溢出效应研究. 技术经济, 2021, 40(2): 56-64
[6] 白冰, 赵作权, 张佩. 中国南北区域经济空间融合发展的趋势与布局. 经济地理, 2021, 41(2): 1-10
[7] 李兰冰, 刘秉镰. “十四五”时期中国区域经济发展的重大问题展望. 管理世界, 2020, 36(5): 36-51
[8] 任艳. 区域协调发展与现代产业体系构建的政治经济学阐释. 经济纵横, 2020(6): 11-17
[9] 徐生霞, 刘强. 跨区域城市群经济协调发展研究——基于产业转型升级与政策干预的视角. 数理统计与管理, 2021, 40, DOI: 10. 13860/j. cnki.sltj. 20210305-017
[10] 毛中根, 武优勐, 谢迟. 长三角城市群消费水平空间格局及其影响机制. 经济地理, 2020, 40(12): 56-62
[11] 陈炳, 曾刚, 曹贤忠, 等. 长三角城市群生态文明建设与城市化耦合协调发展研究. 长江流域资源与环境, 2019, 28(3): 530-541
[12] 江孝君, 杨青山, 冯婧, 等. 中国生态-经济-社会系统协调发展时空分异及影响机制. 资源开发与市场, 2019, 35(6): 741-749
[13] 段新, 戴胜利, 廖凯诚. 区域科技创新、经济发展与生态环境的协调发展研究——基于省级面板数据的实证分析. 科技管理研究, 2020, 40(1): 89-100
[14] 戴靓, 曹湛, 张维阳, 等. 多重空间流视角下长三角城市网络特征分析. 长江流域资源与环境, 2020, 29(6): 1280-1289
[15] 丁如曦, 刘梅, 李东坤. 多中心城市网络的区域经济协调发展驱动效应——以长江经济带为例. 统计研究, 2020, 37(11): 93-105
[16] 王如松, 欧阳志云. 社会-经济-自然复合生态系统与可持续发展. 中国科学院院刊, 2012, 27(3): 337-345
[17] Wang XK, Dong ZC, Xu W, et al. Study on spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of coordinated deve-lopment degree among regional water resources, social economy, and ecological environment systems. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2019, 16: 4213
[18] Liu JP, Tian Y, Huang K, et al. Spatial-temporal differentiation of the coupling coordinated development of regional energy-economy-ecology system: A case study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Ecological Indicators, 2021, 124: 107394
[19] 刘强, 徐生霞. 中国区域协调发展及空间演进. 统计与决策, 2021, 37(1): 102-105
[20] 张运华, 魏梦洁, 吴洁, 等. 江苏省区域非平衡发展的政策视角分析. 华东经济管理, 2020, 34(4): 9-15
[21] 邓宗兵, 何若帆, 陈钲, 等. 中国八大综合经济区生态文明发展的区域差异及收敛性研究. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2020, 37(6): 3-25
[22] 杜宇, 黄成, 吴传清. 长江经济带工业高质量发展指数的时空格局演变. 经济地理, 2020, 40(8): 96-103
[23] 任志安, 马朝阳. 淮河生态经济带绿色发展水平测度及空间分异分析. 生态经济, 2020, 36(7): 83-89
[24] Li YR, Wang J, Liu YS, et al. Problem regions and regional problems of socioeconomic development in China: A perspective from the coordinated development of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2014, 24: 1115-1130
[25] Li YR, Zhang XC, Cao Z, et al. Towards the progress of ecological restoration and economic development in China’s Loess Plateau and strategy for more sustainable development. Science of the Total Environment, 2021, 756: 143676
[26] 李响, 齐文平, 谭畅, 等. 生态环境脆弱性与多维贫困的耦合关系——基于广西河池市1586个贫困村的实证分析. 应用生态学报, 2019, 30(12): 4303-4312
[27] 康译之, 何丹, 高鹏, 等. 长三角地区港口腹地范围演化及其影响机制. 地理研究, 2021, 40(1): 138-151
[28] 李嘉艺, 孙璁, 郑曦. 基于适应性循环理论的区域生态风险时空演变评估——以长江三角洲城市群为例. 生态学报, 2021, 41(7): 1-13
[29] 刘垚燚, 曾鹏, 张然, 等. 基于GEE和BRT的1984—2019年长三角生态绿色一体化发展示范区植被覆盖度变化. 应用生态学报, 2021, 32(3): 1033-1044
[30] Chen ZJ, Liu YM, Zhang YJ, et al. Inter-regional economic spillover and carbon productivity embodied in trade: Empirical study from the Pan-Yangtze River Delta Region. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2021, 28: 7390-7403
[31] 江苏省统计局. 江苏省统计年鉴. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2010—2020
[32] 浙江省统计局. 浙江省统计年鉴. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2010—2020
[33] 上海市统计局. 上海市统计年鉴. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2010—2020
[34] 安徽省统计局. 安徽省统计年鉴. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2010—2020
[35] 赵霄伟. 新时期区域协调发展的科学内涵、框架体系与政策举措: 基于国家发展规划演变的研究视角. 经济问题, 2021(5): 24-30
[36] 姚鹏, 叶振宇. 中国区域协调发展指数构建及优化路径分析. 财经问题研究, 2019(9): 80-87
[37] 张超, 钟昌标, 蒋天颖, 等. 我国区域协调发展时空分异及其影响因素. 经济地理, 2020, 40(9): 15-26
[38] 王二威, 朱宝文, 崔春生. 基于熵权TOPSIS方法的珠三角地区城市生态文明建设评价. 数学的实践与认识, 2020, 50(12): 28-37
[39] 李红锦, 张宁, 李胜会. 区域协调发展: 基于产业专业化视角的实证. 中央财经大学学报, 2018(6): 106-118
[40] 白雪, 宋玉祥, 浩飞龙. 东北地区“五化”协调发展的格局演变及影响机制. 地理研究, 2018, 37(1): 67-80
[41] 胡艳兴, 潘竟虎, 陈蜒, 等. 基于ESDA和GWR的中国地级及以上城市四化协调发展时空分异格局. 经济地理, 2015, 35(5): 45-54
[42] 刘玉红, 张筠, 张春华, 等. 2000—2015年山东省植被净初级生产力时空变化及其对气候变化的响应. 生态学杂志, 2019, 38(5): 1464-1471