Welcome to Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology! Today is Share:

Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology ›› 2010, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (12): 3063-3069.

• Articles • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Prediction of potential suitable distribution area of Flaveria bidentis in China based on niche models.

CAO Xiang-feng, QIAN Guo-liang, HU Bai-shi, LIU Feng-quan   

  1. Ministry of Agriculture Key Laboratory of Monitoring and Management of Crop Diseases and Pest Insects, Department of Plant Pathology, College of Plant Protection, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
  • Online:2010-12-18 Published:2010-12-18

Abstract: Based on the distribution records of Flaveria bidentis in China, and by using five ecological niche models (GARP, Maxent, ENFA, Bioclim, and Domain), 32 eco-geographical variables were chosen to simulate the potential suitable distribution area of F. bidentis in the country, and the simulation precision of the models was assessed by the method of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Among the models adopted, Maxent model had the best simulation precision. Its prediction showed that the potential suitable distribution area of F. bidenti in this country accounted for 7.5% of the total, with the central and southern Hebei, Beijing, Tianjin, Henan, Shandong, Anhui, and Jiangsu having high potential invasion risk.

Key words: Flaveria bidentis, potential suitable distribution area, niche, lateral root branch, adjacent upper straight root, anti-fracture characteristics.