Abstract: Exploring the temporal and spatial dynamics of vegetation coverage in the Heilongjiang Basin and its response to climate change can provide a theoretical basis and data support for integrated basin management for three countries (Mongolia, China and Russia) in the region. We used MOD13Q1 remote sensing data from Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform between 2000 and 2020 to process the normalized vegetation index (NDVI) through the maximum value composites method, and calculated the vegetation coverage (FVC) using the dimidiate pixel model. The Sen+MK trend analysis method was employed to monitor the dynamics of FVC, while the Pearson correlation coefficient was utilized to quantify the responses of FVC to climate change. The results showed that the overall FVC in the Heilongjiang Basin exhibited a slight decreasing trend during 2000-2020, with an annual rate of 0.1%. The FVC in Mongolia showed a fluctuating increase trend (0.13%), while slight decrease trends were observed for Russia (0.15%) and China (0.08%). The FVC predominantly slightly degraded and severely degraded, accounting for 34% and 17% of the area, respectively, while the significantly improved area only accounted for 9%. The impact of precipitation on FVC in the study area was significantly greater than that of temperature. The proportion of areas where precipitation and temperature had a significant impact on FVC was 8.2% and 2.2%, respectively. The correlation coefficient between precipitation and FVC was the highest in Mongolia (r=0.446, P<0.05), and the lowest in Russian region (r=-0.442, P< 0.05).

Key words: vegetation cover, MODIS, normalized difference vegetation index, pixel dichotomous model, correlation analysis