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Dynamic coupling of ecological supporting capability and socioeconomic development of west Jilin Province.

WANG Ming-quan1,2;WANG Jin-da1;LIU Jing-shuang1;GU Kang-kang1,2   

  1. 1Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130012, China; 2Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2008-06-11 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-01-20 Published:2009-01-20

Abstract: The coupling relations between ecological supporting capability [F(x)] and socioeconomic situation [F(y)] of west Jilin Province from 1986 to 2004 wer e analyzed by harmonious development model and scissor difference method. The re sults showed that in study period, the F(x) of west Jilin Province had a trend o f decreasing first and slightly increasing then, while F(y) had an overall expon ential increase. Influenced by natural and anthropogenic factors, both F(x) and F(y) had obvious vulnerability. The scissor difference α between F(x) an d F(y) declined from 493° in 1986 to 028° in 1996, and then increased to 1230° in 2004. During the period of 1995〖KG-*2〗-〖KG-*7〗2004, west Jilin Province g radually changed its traditional manner, i.e., from increasing F(y) with the rapid degradation of F(x) to the harmonious development of both F(x) an d F(y), and the coupling degree of F(x) and F(y) changed from elementary or crit ical inharmonious to barley or elementary harmonious. After 1995, the scissor difference α increased with higher velocity, and the harmonious degree C also fluctuated obviously, illustrating an intensive antagonism between F(x) and F(y). The study area was in the erupting period of various ecological problems, and at present, the high instability of elementary harmonious status still existed. Comparing wi th harmonious development model alone, its combination with scissor difference m ethod could reveal the coupling relations of F(x) and F(y) from the perspectives of development status and changing rate. This combination could reflect not onl y the equilibrium status but also the conflict intensity between F(x) and F(y), and give more comprehensive and profound analysis on the coupling relations betw een F(x) and F(y).

Key words: spatial distribution, canopy gap, natural regeneration., kernel density estimation