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Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology ›› 1992, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (3): 247-252.

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Simulation model of multivariate dynamic economic threshold of Asian corn borer

Kuang Xingquan, Bi Chengpeng, Wei Mingxin   

  1. Central China Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070
  • Received:1990-11-19 Revised:1991-05-14 Online:1992-07-25 Published:1992-07-25

Abstract: The population dynamics of Asian corn borer(ACB) Ostrinia furnicalis and the yield loss caused by it were studied in Wuchang in 1985-1989. Ageneral model for its multivariate dynamic economic threshold is established as ETi(t)= Ki(P1,P2,…,Pn)/[1+exp(a-b×t)]^2×[1+exp(a-b×X)] ×exp(a-b×t) Where Xis the interval from emergence of first eggmass to sampling date, t denotes time, and a and b are Logistic parameters which are varied with defferent ACBgenerations. The value of Ki(p1,p2,...,pn) is determined by state i, which is described with a property serial value Pj(j=1,2,...,n) named state index. The model is programmed through IBM PC/ATmicrocomputer and validated in corn production.

Key words: Asian corn borer, Simulation model, Multivariate dynamic economic threshold