关键词: 长白落叶松, 枝下高模型, 混合效应模型, 分位数回归, 模型校正

Abstract: Height to crown base is an important index reflecting the characteristics of tree crown. It is of great significance to accurately quantify height to crown base for forest management and increasing stand production. We used nonlinear regression to construct the height to crown base generalized basic model, and further extended that to the mixed-effects model and quantile regression model. The prediction ability of the models was evaluated and compared by the ‘leave-one-out’ cross-validate. Four sampling designs and different sampling sizes were used to calibrate the height to crown base model, and the best model calibration scheme was selected. The results showed that based on the height to crown base generalized model including tree height, diameter at breast height, basal area of the stand and average dominant height, the prediction accuracy of the expanded mixed-effects model and the combined three-quartile regression model were obviously improved. The mixed-effects model was slightly better than the combined three-quartile regression model, and the optimal sampling calibration scheme was to select five average trees. The mixed-effects model with five average trees was recommended to predict the height to crown base in practice.

Key words: Larix olgensis, height to crown base model, mixed-effects model, quantile regression model, calibration of model