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APSIM模型在西南地区的适应性评价——以重庆冬小麦为例

戴彤1,王靖1**,赫迪1,张建平2,王娜1   

  1. 1中国农业大学资源与环境学院, 北京 100193; 2重庆市气象科学研究所, 重庆 401147)
  • 出版日期:2015-04-18 发布日期:2015-04-18

Adaptability of APSIM model in Southwestern China: A case study of winter wheat in Chongqing City.

DAI Tong1, WANG Jing1, HE Di1, ZHANG Jian-ping2, WANG Na1   

  1. (1College of Resource and Environmental Sciences,  China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China; 2Chongqing Institute of Meteorological Sciences,   Chongqing 401147,  China)
  • Online:2015-04-18 Published:2015-04-18

摘要:

利用重庆市4个代表性站点的小麦田间观测数据和同期逐日气象数据对APSIM模型在重庆小麦产区的适应性进行研究,确定了12个小麦品种的作物参数.结果表明: 模拟小麦的播种至出苗、开花和成熟各阶段天数与实测值具有较好的一致性,其均方根误差值分别为0~3、1~8和0~8 d;模拟的12个小麦品种中,模拟与实测地上部分生物量的归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)均低于30%,10个品种模拟与实测产量的NRMSE均低于30%,作物生育期、地上部分生物量和产量的模拟结果均在可接受范围内波动.说明APSIM模型对不同品种冬小麦的生育期、地上部分生物量和产量模拟效果较好,该模型在重庆地区具有较好的适应性,为后续基于模型评估该地区小麦生产提供了基础支撑.
 

Abstract:

Field experimental data of winter wheat and parallel daily meteorological data at four typical stations in Chongqing City were used to calibrate and validate APSIMwheat model and determine the genetic parameters for 12 varieties of winter wheat. The results showed that there was a good agreement between the simulated and observed growth periods from sowing to emergence, flowering and maturity of wheat. Root mean squared errors (RMSEs) between simulated and observed emergence, flowering and maturity were 0-3, 1-8, and 0-8 d, respectively. Normalized root mean squared errors (NRMSEs) between simulated and observed aboveground biomass for 12 study varieties were less than 30%. NRMSE between simulated and observed yields for 10 varieties out of 12 study varieties were less than 30%. APSIMwheat model performed well in simulating phenology, aboveground biomass and yield of winter wheat in Chongqing City, which could provide a foundational support for assessing the impact of climate change on wheat production in the study area based on the model.