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江西千烟洲地区散射辐射的模拟与验证

韩佳音1,2,李胜功1,张雷明1**,温学发1,李庆康1,王辉民1   

  1. 1中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所生态系统网络观测与模拟重点实验室, 北京 100101; 2中国科学院大学, 北京 100049)
  • 出版日期:2015-10-18 发布日期:2015-10-18

Simulation and validation of diffuse radiation in Qianyanzhou area, Jiangxi, China.

HAN Jia-yin1,2, LI Sheng-gong1, ZHANG Lei-ming1, WEN Xue-fa1, LI Qing-kang1, WANG Hui-min1   

  1. (1Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; 2University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)
  • Online:2015-10-18 Published:2015-10-18

摘要: 散射辐射的准确估算对于评价其对陆地生态系统碳交换的影响具有重要意义.基于我国中亚热带江西千烟洲气象观测场2012年3月1日—2013年2月28日散射辐射实际观测数据对目前常用的5个散射辐射分解模型(Reindl-1、Reindl-2、Reindl-3、Boland、BRL)的模拟结果进行验证.结果表明: 在30 min尺度上,虽然5个模型在总体上都可以较好地模拟该地区的散射辐射,但模型模拟效果随着晴空指数(kt)的升高而显著降低.特别是当kt>0.75时,各模型已无法模拟该地区散射辐射.从散射辐射季节变化的模拟来看,5个模型能够很好地模拟大多数月份的散射辐射.5个模型年尺度散射辐射模拟值与观测值的相对偏差最高为7.1%(BRL),最低为0.04%(Reindl-1),平均为3.6%.在全年辐射最强、温度最高和降水偏少的夏季,5个模型的模拟值均出现了过高估计.以7月为例,散射辐射被高估14.5%~28.2%,平均高估21.2%.这可能与高kt条件下散射辐射的估算方法有关,这种不确定性需要在模型应用中做进一步深入评价.根据验证结果并考虑模拟精度和输入变量的易获取性,5个模型的模拟效果依次为BRL>Reindl-3>Reindl-2>Reindl-1>Boland.

Abstract: Accurate estimation of diffuse radiation is of great significance for evaluating its effect on terrestrial ecosystem carbon exchange. Based on the observed diffuse radiation data in the meteorological observation field in midsubtropical Qianyanzhou, Jiangxi, China from March 1, 2012 to February 28, 2013, the simulated results of five widely used diffuse radiation decomposition models (Reindl-1, Reindl-2, Reindl-3, Boland, BRL) were validated. The results indicated that, on the 30 min scale, all of the five models could well simulate the diffuse radiation of this area overall. But the effect of models decreased significantly with the rising of clearness index (kt). Especially when kt>0.75, each model was unable to simulate diffuse radiation in the region. Regarding the simulation of seasonal change of diffuse radiation, the five models could simulate diffuse radiation well in most months. Relative deviation between simulated and observed values of yearly diffuse radiation of five models had a maximum of 7.1% (BRL), a minimum of 0.04% (Reindl-1), and an average of 3.6%. The simulated values of the five models appeared to be overestimated in the summer when radiation was strongest, temperature was highest, and precipitation was relatively low. For example, in July, the diffuse radiation was overestimated by 14.5%-28.2%, 21.2% on average. This was primarily due to the method of estimating diffuse radiation under the condition of high kt. The uncertainty requires further evaluation in the model application. Considering the results of validation, simulation precision and the accessibility of input variables, the order of the simulation performance of five models was BRL>Reindl-3>Reindl-2>Reindl-1>Boland.