Welcome to Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology! Today is Share:

Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology ›› 1994, Vol. 5 ›› Issue (3): 232-236.

• Articles • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Application of Markov process in structural dynamic forecasting of forest resources with tree species structure in Nanping region of Fujian Province as an example

Chen Jianzhong1, Zhou Shiyong1, Xu Fuyu2   

  1. 1. Forest Committee of Jianyang County, Fujian Province, Jianyang 354200;
    2. Institute of Applied Ecology, Academia Sinica, Shenyang 110015
  • Received:1993-12-09 Revised:1994-05-03 Online:1994-07-25 Published:1994-07-25

Abstract: Based on the theory of Markov process,and the data obtained from fixed plots for continuously surveying forest resources, the tree species structure in Nanping region is forecasted and adjusted. The results show that the ratio of conifers to broad-leaved trees will be seriously imbalance and the occupied ratios of Phyllostachys pubescens and economic trees will be decreased gradually. The tree species structure will be lied in a stable state, e. g., Cunninghamia lanceolata occupies by 28.05%, Pinus massoniana by 16.63%, broad-leaved trees by 19.01%, Phyllostachys pubescens by 5.43%, economic trees by 2.26%, and others by 28.71%. After adjustment, they occuy by 18.72, 13.24, 26.98, 10.84, 5.45 and 24.77% respectively.

Key words: Forest resources structure, Markov process, Transition probability