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Geostatistical analysis on distribution pattern of the tobacco budworm larva in Enshi, Hubei, China.

XIA Peng-liang, WANG Rui, TAN Jun   

  1. (Enshi Department of Hubei Tobacco Company, Enshi 445000, Hubei, China)
  • Online:2014-03-18 Published:2014-03-18

Abstract: Tobacco budworm (Helicoverpa assulta) larvae feed on tobacco leaves (Nicotiana sp.), resulting in significant loss in tobacco production. Geostatistical method was used to analyze H. assulta spatial patterns and dynamics in this paper. The results showed that, H. assulta larvae appeared 40 days after the tobacco plants transplanting, and reached its peak at the earlymature period. The nested spherical and exponential model was the major model for tobacco budworm larva in the field, suggesting its aggregated distribution. The spatial variability C/(C0+C) was larger than 0.75, which indicated H. assulta larva had wider structural variation and narrower random variation. There was a massive migration of tobacco budworm larva in the fastgrowing stage of tobacco. Its quantity became stable after that, especially at the mature stage of tobacco.