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应用生态学报 ›› 1990, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (4): 301-305.

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

Logistic、崔-Lawson种群增长模型理论及实例拟合比较

黄晋彪, 张根海   

  1. 上海市水产研究所, 上海 200433
  • 收稿日期:1990-03-07 出版日期:1990-10-25 发布日期:1990-10-25

Comparison of theory and case fitting between Logistic and Cui-Lawson population increment models

Huang Jinbiao, Zhang Genhai   

  1. Shanghai Fisheries Research Institute, Shanghai 200433
  • Received:1990-03-07 Online:1990-10-25 Published:1990-10-25

摘要: 本文求出了Logistic方程、崔-Lawson方程的速度、加速度方程。Logistic方程在加速度等于零时的增长拐点只能在K/2处,此时的最大增长速度为μLK/4;崔-Lawson方程在加速度等于零时的增长拐点在K/(√b+1)处,此时的最大增长速度为μCK/(√b+1)2.通过b的变化,在描述种群增长规律时,崔-Lawson方程可优于Logistic方程。本文还用变步长坐标轮换法对两个方程进行实例拟合比较,Logistic方程还比较了Gause、Andrewartha、May、Pearl、Krebs、万昌秀、王莽莽等人的方法与结果[1,2] 。拟合结果表明,崔-Lawson方程最优;在拟合Logistic方程的各种方法中,本文方法较优。

关键词: 种群增长, 理论比较, 实例拟合

Abstract: In this paper,equations of dt/dXand dX/dt2 of Logistic and Cui-Lawson models are calculated. When d2X/dt2=0,the increment turning point of Logistic equation can only lies at the point of K/2 and then maximum value of dX/dt is μL K/4; under the same condition,the increment turning point of Cui-Lawson equation lies at the point of K/(√b+1) and then the maximum value of dX/dt is μCK/(√b+1)2. Through the variation of b,the Cui-Lawson equation may be superior than the Logistic when they are used to describe the law of population increment. By adopting the method of rotating coordinate with changing length of pace,comparisons between case fittings of these two equations are made. Logistic equation is also compared with Gause's,Andrewartha's,May's,Kreb's,Wan Changxiou's and Wang Mangmang's methods and results. Fitting results show that Cui-Lawson equation is the best and among the methods of fitting Logistic equation,the one described here is better.

Key words: Population increment, Theory comparison, Case fitting