| [1] | 于贵瑞, 杨萌, 付超, 等. 大尺度陆地生态系统管理的理论基础及其应用研究的思考. 应用生态学报, 2021, 32(3): 771-787 | 
																													
																						| [2] | Andersen T, Carstensen J, Hernandez-Garcia E, et al. Ecological thresholds and regime shifts: Approaches to identification. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 2009, 24: 49-57 | 
																													
																						| [3] | 刘文政, 朱瑾. 资源环境承载力研究进展: 基于地理学综合研究的视角. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2017, 27(6): 75-86 | 
																													
																						| [4] | 关涛. 中国土地资源配置与可持续发展研究. 博士论文. 哈尔滨: 东北农业大学, 2002 | 
																													
																						| [5] | 王永杰, 张雪萍. 生态阈值理论的初步探究. 中国农学通报, 2010, 26(12): 282-286 | 
																													
																						| [6] | IPCC. Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2014 | 
																													
																						| [7] | Bergstrom JC, Landol A. 谢关平, 朱方明, 译. 资源经济学. 北京: 中国人民大学出版社, 2015 | 
																													
																						| [8] | 张绅, 吴章钟, 周秀佳. 植物地理学. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 1987 | 
																													
																						| [9] | 孙鸿烈. 中国资源科学百科全书. 北京: 中国大百科全书出版社, 2000 | 
																													
																						| [10] | 封志明, 李鹏. 承载力概念的源起与发展: 基于资源环境视角的讨论. 自然资源学报, 2018, 33(9): 1475-1489 | 
																													
																						| [11] | Malthus TR. 朱泱, 胡企林, 朱和中, 译. 人口原理. 北京: 商务印书馆, 2009 | 
																													
																						| [12] | Hadwen S, Palmer LJ. Reindeer in Alaska. USDA Bulletin. Washington DC: Department of Agriculture, 1922 | 
																													
																						| [13] | William V. Road to survival. Soil Science, 1948, 67: 75 | 
																													
																						| [14] | Meadows DH, Rome CO. The limits to growth: A report for the Club of Rome's project on the predicament of mankind. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 1973, 4: 323-332 | 
																													
																						| [15] | UNESCO, FAO. Carrying Capacity Assessment with A Pilot Study of Kenya: A Resource Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development. Paris and Rome: FAO, 1985 | 
																													
																						| [16] | Arrow K, Bolin B, Costanza R, et al. Economic growth, carrying capacity, and the environment. Science, 1995, 268: 520-521 | 
																													
																						| [17] | Holling CS. Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual Review of Ecology & Systematics, 1973, 4: 1-23 | 
																													
																						| [18] | Immerzeel WW, Lutz AF, Andrade M, et al. Importance and vulnerability of the world's water towers. Nature, 2020, 577: 364-369 | 
																													
																						| [19] | Bastiaansen R, Doelman A, Eppinga MB, et al. The effect of climate change on the resilience of ecosystems with adaptive spatial pattern formation. Ecology Letters, 2020, 23: 414-429 | 
																													
																						| [20] | Arani BMS, Carpenter SR, Lahti L, et al. Exit time as a measure of ecological resilience. Science, 2021, 372: eaay4895 | 
																													
																						| [21] | 竺可桢. 论我国气候的几个特点及其与粮食作物生产的关系. 科学通报, 1964(3): 189-199 | 
																													
																						| [22] | 任美锷. 四川省农作物生产力的地理分布. 地理学报, 1950, 16(1): 1-22 | 
																													
																						| [23] | 封志明, 杨艳昭, 闫慧敏, 等. 百年来的资源环境承载力研究: 从理论到实践. 资源科学, 2017, 39(3): 379-395 | 
																													
																						| [24] | 施雅风. 乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用. 北京: 科学出版社, 1992 | 
																													
																						| [25] | 周侃. 区域资源环境承载能力评价方法及其理论基础研究——以宁夏西海固地区为例. 博士论文. 北京: 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 2014 | 
																													
																						| [26] | 封志明, 刘登伟. 京津冀地区水资源供需平衡及其水资源承载力. 自然资源学报, 2006, 21(5): 689-699 | 
																													
																						| [27] | 曾维华, 王华东, 薛纪渝, 等. 人口、资源与环境协调发展关键问题之一——环境承载力研究. 中国人口·资源与环境, 1991, 1(2): 33-37 | 
																													
																						| [28] | 赵东升, 郭彩贇, 郑度, 等. 生态承载力研究进展. 生态学报, 2019, 39(2): 399-410 | 
																													
																						| [29] | 樊杰. 我国主体功能区划的科学基础. 地理学报, 2007, 62(4): 339-350 | 
																													
																						| [30] | 黄贤金, 宋娅娅. 基于共轭角力机制的区域资源环境综合承载力评价模型. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(10): 2103-2112 | 
																													
																						| [31] | 谢高地. 中国生态资源承载力研究. 北京: 科学出版社, 2011 | 
																													
																						| [32] | Bayliss-Smith T. Constraints on population growth: The case of the Polynesian Outlier Atolls in the precontact period. Human Ecology, 1974, 2: 259-295 | 
																													
																						| [33] | 王开运. 生态承载力复合模型系统与应用. 北京: 科学出版社, 2007 | 
																													
																						| [34] | Odum EP, Barrett GW. 陆健健, 王伟, 王天慧, 等, 译. 生态学基础(第五版). 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2009 | 
																													
																						| [35] | Barrett GW, Odum EP. The twenty-first century: The world at carrying capacity. Bioscience, 2000, 50: 363-368 | 
																													
																						| [36] | 吴冬秀, 张彤, 白永飞, 等. -3/2方自疏法则的机理与普适性. 应用生态学报, 2002, 13(9): 1081-1084 | 
																													
																						| [37] | Lotka AJ. Elements of Physical Biology. New York: Dover Publications Inc., 1956 | 
																													
																						| [38] | Volterra V. Variations and fluctuations of the number of individuals in animal species living together. Journal Du Conseil, 1928, 3: 3-51 | 
																													
																						| [39] | Holland JR. Hidden order: How adaptation builds complexity. Artificial Life, 1995, 2: 333-335 | 
																													
																						| [40] | Walker B, Hollin CS, Carpenter SR, et al. Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society, 2004, 9: 5 | 
																													
																						| [41] | 葛怡, 史培军, 徐伟, 等. 恢复力研究的新进展与评述. 灾害学, 2010, 25(3): 119-124 | 
																													
																						| [42] | Lewonin RC. The meaning of stability: Diversity and stability in ecological systems. Brookhaven Symposium in Biology, 1969, 22: 13-24 | 
																													
																						| [43] | Scheffer M. Critical Transitions in Nature and Society. Princeton, NJ, USA: Princeton University Press, 2009 | 
																													
																						| [44] | Dakos V, Matthews B, Hendry AP, et al. Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2019, 3: 355-362 | 
																													
																						| [45] | Clements CF, Ozgul A. Indicators of transitions in biological systems. Ecology Letters, 2018, 21: 905-919 | 
																													
																						| [46] | 赵东升, 张雪梅. 生态系统多稳态的研究进展. 生态学报, 2021, 41(16): 1-15 | 
																													
																						| [47] | Hu Z, Guo Q, Li S, et al. Shifts in the dynamics of productivity signal ecosystem state transitions at the biome-scale. Ecology Letters, 2018, 21: 1457-1466 | 
																													
																						| [48] | Guttal V, Jayaprakash C. Changing skewness: An early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems. Ecology Letters, 2008, 11: 450-460 | 
																													
																						| [49] | Dakos V. Anticipating critical transitions. Science Advances, 2012, 338: 344-348 | 
																													
																						| [50] | 孙晶, 王俊, 杨新军. 社会-生态系统恢复力研究综述. 生态学报, 2007, 27(12): 5371-5381 | 
																													
																						| [51] | Holling CS. Understanding the complexity of economic, ecological, and social systems. Ecosystems, 2001, 4: 390-405 | 
																													
																						| [52] | Walker B, Holling CS, Carpenter SR, et al. Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society, 2003, 9: 5 | 
																													
																						| [53] | Pringle RM, Doak DF, Brody AK, et al. Spatial pattern enhances ecosystem functioning in an African Savanna. PLoS Biology, 2010, 8(5): e1000377 | 
																													
																						| [54] | Bonachela JA, Pringle RM, Sheffer E, et al. Termite mounds can increase the robustness of dryland ecosystems to climatic change. Science, 2015, 347: 651-655 | 
																													
																						| [55] | Ingrisch J, Bahn M. Towards a comparable quantification of resilience. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 2018, 33: 251-259 | 
																													
																						| [56] | Bastiaansen R, Doelman A, Eppinga MB, et al. The effect of climate change on the resilience of ecosystems with adaptive spatial pattern formation. Ecology Letters, 2020, 23: 414-429 | 
																													
																						| [57] | Dakos V. Identifying best-indicator species for abrupt transitions in multispecies communities. Ecological Indicators, 2018, 94: 494-502 | 
																													
																						| [58] | Liu QX, Herman PMJ, Mooij WM, et al. Pattern formation at multiple spatial scales drives the resilience of mussel bed ecosystems. Nature Communications, 2014, 5: 5234 | 
																													
																						| [59] | de Paoli H, Tjisse VDH, Aniek VDB, et al. Behavioral self-organization underlies the resilience of a coastal ecosystem. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017, 114: 8035-8040 | 
																													
																						| [60] | Sanyal J, Lu XX. Remote sensing and GIS-based flood vulnerability assessment of human settlements: A case study of Gangetic West Bengal, India. Hydrological Processes, 2010, 19: 3699-3716 | 
																													
																						| [61] | Staver AC, Archibald S, Levin SA. The global extent and determinants of savanna and forest as alternative biome states. Science, 2011, 334: 230-232 | 
																													
																						| [62] | Drake JM, Griffen BD. Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments. Nature, 2010, 467: 456-459 | 
																													
																						| [63] | Carpenter SR, Cole JJ, Pace ML, et al. Early warnings of regime shifts: A whole-ecosystem experiment. Science, 2011, 332: 1079-1082 | 
																													
																						| [64] | Scheffer M, Bascompte J, Brock WA, et al. Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature, 2009, 461: 53-59 | 
																													
																						| [65] | Kefi S, Rietkerk M, Alados CL, et al. Spatial vegetation patterns and imminent desertification in Mediterranean arid ecosystems. Nature, 2007, 449: 213-217 |