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应用生态学报 ›› 2010, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (04): 1049-1055.

• 研究报告 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于广义可加模型的时空和环境因子对东南太平洋智利竹筴鱼渔场的影响

牛明香1,2,李显森1**,徐玉成3    

  1. 1中国水产科学研究院黄海水产研究所/农业部海洋渔业资源可持续利用重点开放实验室/山东省渔业资源与生态环境重点实验室, 山东青岛 266071;2山东农业大学资源与环境学院| 山东泰安 271018;3辽宁远洋渔业有限公司| 辽宁大连 116113
  • 出版日期:2010-04-20 发布日期:2010-04-20

Effects of spatiotemporal and environmental factors on the fishing ground of Trachurus murphyi in Southeast Pacific Ocean based on generalized additive model.

NIU Ming-xiang1,2, LI Xian-sen1, XU Yu-cheng3   

  1. 1Ministry of Agriculture Key Laboratory for Sustainable Utilization of Marine Fisheries Resource/Shandong Province Key Laboratory for Fishery Resources and Eco-environment, Yellow Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, China;2College of Resources and Environment, Shandong Agricultural University, Tai’an 271018, Shandong, China|3Liaoning Pelagic Fishery Co. Ltd, Dalian 116113, Liaoning, China
  • Online:2010-04-20 Published:2010-04-20

摘要: 根据2001—2007年我国渔船在东南太平洋海域的智利竹筴鱼生产统计数据、时空因子以及海表温度、叶绿素浓度、海表温度梯度等环境数据,利用广义可加模型(GAM)分析了智利竹筴鱼资源变动情况及其与时空和环境因子的关系.结果表明:GAM模型对单位捕捞努力量渔获量(catch per unit effort,CPUE)总偏差解释率为31.47%;竹筴鱼生产具有明显的季节变化,主要集中在第17~41周,其中第25~31周的CPUE较高;东南太平洋智利竹筴鱼作业渔场集中在78°—98° W,30°—435° S之间,适宜海表温度为12 ℃~18 ℃,14 ℃~16 ℃最适宜,适宜叶绿素浓度在0.09~0.18 mg·m-3,海表温度梯度在0.3 ℃~1.9 ℃.逐步建模法结果表明,影响竹筴鱼资源丰度的因子按重要性从大到小依次为周次、年份、海表温度、经度、纬度、叶绿素浓度和海表温度梯度.

关键词: 智利竹筴鱼, 时空因子, 环境因子, 广义可加模型, 东南太平洋, 雷竹林, 潜在生态风险指数, 单因子污染指数, 内梅罗综合污染指数

Abstract: Based on the 2001-2007 Chilean jack mackerel (Trachurus murphyi) fishing data from Chinese vessels, as well as the spatiotemporal factors and the environmental factors such as sea surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll concentration, and temperature gradient (TGR) in the Southeast Pacific Ocean, this paper analyzed the resource variation of T. murphyi and its relationships with the spatiotemporal and environmental factors in the Ocean by using generalized additive model (GAM). The results showed that the rate of deviance explained about CPUE (catch per unit effort) was 31.47%. The fishing production of T. murphyi had distinct seasonal variation, and mainly concentrated in the 17th-41st weeks of the year, with the CPUE reached the highest in the 25th-31st weeks. The fishing ground of T. murphyi in the Ocean was mainly located in the waters of 78°-98° W and 30°-43.5° S. The suitable sea surface temperature was in the range of 12 ℃-18 ℃, and the optimum temperature was 14 ℃-16 ℃. The appropriate chlorophyll concentration range and temperature gradient were 0.09-0.18 mg·m-3 and 0.3 ℃-1.9 ℃, respectively. The results of stepwise GAM showed that the relative importance of the seven variables affecting the CPUE of T. murphyi was in the order of: weeks of the year, year, sea surface temperature, longitude, latitude, chlorophyll concentration, and temperature gradient.

Key words: Chilean jack mackerel (Trachurus murphyi), spatiotemporal factor, environmental factor, generalized additive model, Southeast Pacific Ocean, Hyllostachys praecox, potential ecological risk index, single factor pollution index, Nemerow integrated pollution index.