
应用生态学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (4): 1319-1328.doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.202604.014
吴荣军1,2, 冯兆忠1,2*
收稿日期:2025-10-20
修回日期:2026-02-15
出版日期:2026-04-18
发布日期:2026-05-29
通讯作者:
*E-mail: zhaozhong.feng@nuist.edu.cn
作者简介:吴荣军, 男, 1975年生, 博士, 教授, 博士生导师。主要从事气候与环境变化的生态效应研究。E-mail: wurj@nuist.edu.cn
基金资助:WU Rongjun1,2, FENG Zhaozhong1,2*
Received:2025-10-20
Revised:2026-02-15
Online:2026-04-18
Published:2026-05-29
摘要: 地表臭氧(O3)浓度长期处于高位且持续时间不断延长,准确评估臭氧污染引发的作物产量损失,对维护区域及全球粮食安全具有重要意义。本文系统阐述了O3污染对作物减产的伤害机制和作物自身的解毒机制,解析了O3浓度响应、剂量响应和通量响应等农作物减产评估方法的局限性,聚焦机理模型改进与多方法耦合的创新实践,全面介绍了作物模型中嵌入O3伤害和解毒模块的研究进展,展望了作物模型-机器学习混合框架在O3伤害评估中的研究方向,并为量化O3污染与极端气候事件的复合效应提供了机理性和实用性并存的新研究范式。本文可为精准评估气候变化背景下O3污染对作物产量损失影响研究的持续推进提供参考。
吴荣军, 冯兆忠. 臭氧污染对作物产量的影响:评估方法的进展与展望[J]. 应用生态学报, 2026, 37(4): 1319-1328.
WU Rongjun, FENG Zhaozhong. Impact of ozone pollution on crop yields: Advances and prospects in assessment methods[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2026, 37(4): 1319-1328.
| [1] DeLang MN, Becker JS, Chang KL, et al. Mapping yearly fine resolution global surface ozone through the Bayesian maximum entropy data fusion of observations and model output for 1990-2017. Environmental Science & Technology, 2021, 55: 4389-4398 [2] Li K, Jacob DJ, Liao H, et al. Ozone pollution in the North China Plain spreading into the late-winter haze season. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021, 118: e2015797118 [3] 宋文芳, 胡蓓蓓, 李红柳, 等. 胡焕庸线以东O3时空格局演变及其影响因素. 生态学杂志, 2025, 44(4): 1334-1342 [4] Sun HT, Shin YM, Xia MT, et al. Spatial resolved surface ozone with urban and rural differentiation during 1990-2019: A space-time Bayesian neural network downscaler. Environmental Science & Technology, 2021, 56: 7337-7349 [5] Emberson L. Effects of ozone on agriculture, forests and grasslands. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2020, 378: 20190327 [6] Feng ZZ, Xu YS, Kobayashi K, et al. Ozone pollution threatens the production of major staple crops in East Asia. Nature Food, 2022, 3: 47-56 [7] Emberson LD, Pleijel H, Ainsworth EA, et al. Ozone effects on crops and consideration in crop models. European Journal of Agronomy, 2018, 100: 19-34 [8] Stella P, Personne E, Loubet B, et al. Predicting and partitioning ozone fluxes to maize crops from sowing to harvest: The Surfatm-O3 model. Biogeosciences, 2011, 8: 2869-2886 [9] Nouchi I, Aoki K, Kobayashi K. How much can antioxidative ascorbic acid located in leaf apoplast (cell wall) detoxify ozone? (I) A simulation model based on gas diffusion transfer accompanied with chemical reaction. Journal of Japan Society for Atmospheric Environment, 2019, 54: 113-127 [10] Guo C, Wang XN, Wang Q, et al. Plant defense mecha-nisms against ozone stress: Insights from secondary metabolism. Environmental and Experimental Botany, 2024, 217: 105553 [11] Dai LL, Kobayashi K, Nouchi I, et al. Quantifying determinants of ozone detoxification by apoplastic ascorbate in peach (Prunus persica) leaves using a model of ozone transport and reaction. Global Change Biology, 2020, 26: 3147-3162 [12] Feng ZZ, Kobayashi K. Assessing the impacts of current and future concentrations of surface ozone on crop yield with meta-analysis. Atmospheric Environment, 2009, 43: 1510-1519 [13] Wu RJ, Zheng YF, Hu CD. Evaluation of the chronic effects of ozone on biomass loss of winter wheat based on ozone flux-response relationship with dynamical flux thresholds. Atmospheric Environment, 2016, 142: 93-103 [14] Plöchl M, Lyons T, Ollerenshaw J, et al. Simulating ozone detoxification in the leaf apoplast through the direct reaction with ascorbate. Planta, 2000, 210: 454-467 [15] Dizengremel P, Le Thiec D, Bagard M, et al. Ozone risk assessment for plants: Central role of metabolism-dependent changes in reducing power. Environmental Pollution, 2008, 156: 11-15 [16] Wu RJ, Agathokleous E, Feng ZZ. Novel ozone flux metrics incorporating the detoxification process in the apoplast: An application to Chinese winter wheat. Science of the Total Environment, 2021, 767: 144588 [17] Sanmartin M, Drogoudi PA, Lyons T, et al. Over-expression of ascorbate oxidase in the apoplast of transge-nic tobacco results in altered ascorbate and glutathione redox states and increased sensitivity to ozone. Planta, 2003, 216: 918-928 [18] D’Haese D, Vandermeiren K, Asard H, et al. Other factors than apoplastic ascorbate contribute to the differential ozone tolerance of two clones of Trifolium repens L. Plant, Cell & Environment, 2005, 28: 623-632 [19] Fatima A, Singh AA, Mukherjee A, et al. Ascorbic acid and thiols as potential biomarkers of ozone tolerance in tropical wheat cultivars. Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, 2019, 171: 701-708 [20] Feng ZZ, Pang JL, Nouchi I, et al. Apoplastic ascorbate contributes to the differential ozone sensitivity in two varieties of winter wheat under fully open-air field conditions. Environmental Pollution, 2010, 158: 3539-3545 [21] Feng ZZ, Pang JL, Kobayashi K, et al. Differential responses in two varieties of winter wheat to elevated ozone concentration under fully open-air field conditions. Global Change Biology, 2011, 17: 580-591 [22] Frei M, Tanaka JP, Wissuwa M. Genotypic variation in tolerance to elevated ozone in rice: Dissection of distinct genetic factors linked to tolerance mechanisms. Journal of Experimental Botany, 2008, 59: 3741-3752 [23] Ueda Y, Frimpong F, Qi YT, et al. Genetic dissection of ozone tolerance in rice (Oryza sativa L.) by a genome-wide association study. Journal of Experimental Botany, 2015, 66: 293-306 [24] Wang YX, Yang LX, Höller M, et al. Pyramiding of ozone tolerance QTLs OzT8 and OzT9 confers improved tolerance to season-long ozone exposure in rice. Environmental and Experimental Botany, 2014, 104: 26-33 [25] Chen CP, Frei M, Wissuwa M. The OzT8 locus in rice protects leaf carbon assimilation rate and photosynthetic capacity under ozone stress. Plant, Cell & Environment, 2011, 34: 1141-1149 [26] Mills G, Sharps K, Simpson D, et al. Ozone pollution will compromise efforts to increase global wheat production. Global Change Biology, 2018, 24: 3560-3574 [27] Pleijel H, Broberg MC, Uddling J, et al. Current surface ozone concentrations significantly decrease wheat growth, yield and quality. Science of the Total Environment, 2018, 613-614: 687-692 [28] Feng ZZ, Shang B, Gao F, et al. Current ambient and elevated ozone effects on poplar: A global meta-analysis and response relationships. Science of the Total Environment, 2019, 654: 832-840 [29] Pleijel H, Danielsson H, Emberson L, et al. Ozone risk assessment for agricultural crops in Europe: Further development of stomatal flux and flux-response relationships for European wheat and potato. Atmospheric Environment, 2007, 41: 3022-3040 [30] Peng JL, Shang B, Xu YS, et al. Ozone exposure- and flux-yield response relationships for maize. Environmental Pollution, 2019, 252: 1-7 [31] Mao J, Feng ZZ, Tai APK. Impacts of surface ozone pollution on wheat production in China from 2005 to 2019: A comparison among different methodologies for ozone-crop relationships. Atmospheric Environment, 2025, 360: 121413 [32] Feng ZZ, Tang HY, Uddling J, et al. A stomatal ozone flux-response relationship to assess ozone-induced yield loss of winter wheat in subtropical China. Environmental Pollution, 2012, 164: 16-23 [33] 冯兆忠, 尚博, 徐彦森. 近地层臭氧对我国树木生产力和作物产量的影响: 进展与展望. 大气科学学报, 2022, 45(3): 376-386 [34] 梁晶, 曾青, 朱建国, 等. 植物对近地层高浓度臭氧响应的评价指标研究进展. 中国生态农业学报, 2010, 18(2): 440-445 [35] 吴荣军, 吴彬彬, 郑有飞. 近地层臭氧对农作物产量影响的风险评估模型研究进展. 农业环境科学学报, 2013, 32(9): 1731-1737 [36] 吴荣军. 地表臭氧和土壤水分亏缺对植物的交互效应研究进展. 生态学杂志, 2017, 36(3): 846-853 [37] Asseng S, Ewert F, Martre P, et al. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change, 2014, 5: 143-147 [38] McGrath JM, Betzelberger AM, Wang S, et al. An ana-lysis of ozone damage to historical maize and soybean yields in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2015, 112: 14390-14395 [39] Liu X, Desai AR. Significant reductions in crop yields from air pollution and heat stress in the United States. Earth’s Future, 2021, 9: e2021EF002000 [40] Wu RJ, Shen XZ, Shang B, et al. Complexity and interactions of climatic variables affecting winter wheat photosynthesis in the North China Plain. European Journal of Agronomy, 2025, 166: 127568 [41] Wu RJ, Agathokleous E, Yung DHY, et al. Joint impacts of ozone pollution and climate change on yields of Chinese winter wheat. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 2022, 13: 101509 [42] Schauberger B, Rolinski S, Schaphoff S, et al. Global historical soybean and wheat yield loss estimates from ozone pollution considering water and temperature as modifying effects. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2019, 265: 1-15 [43] Hong C, Mueller ND, Burney JA, et al. Impacts of ozone and climate change on yields of perennial crops in California. Nature Food, 2020, 1: 166-172 [44] Lobell DB, Burney JA. Cleaner air has contributed one-fifth of US maize and soybean yield gains since 1999. Environmental Research Letters, 2021, 16: 074049 [45] Burney J, Ramanathan V. Recent climate and air pollution impacts on Indian agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2014, 111: 16319-16324 [46] Pleijel H, Danielsson H, Broberg MC. Benefits of the Phytotoxic Ozone Dose (POD) index in dose-response functions for wheat yield loss. Atmospheric Environment, 2022, 268: 118797 [47] Buckley TN, Mott KA. Modelling stomatal conductance in response to environmental factors. Plant, Cell & Environment, 2013, 36: 1691-1699 [48] Dewar RC. The Ball-Berry-Leuning and Tardieu-Davies stomatal models synthesis and extension within a spatially aggregated picture of guard cell function. Plant, Cell & Environment, 2002, 25: 1383-1398 [49] Guarin JR, Emberson L, Simpson D, et al. Impacts of tropospheric ozone and climate change on Mexico wheat production. Climatic Change, 2019, 155: 157-174 [50] Out-Larbi F, Conte A, Fares S, et al. Current and future impacts of drought and ozone stress on Northern Hemisphere forests. Global Change Biology, 2020, 26: 6218-6234 [51] Agathokleous E, Frei M, Knopf OM, et al. Adapting crop production to climate change and air pollution at different scales. Nature Food, 2023, 4: 854-865 [52] 郭建平. 作物生长模型发展及应用中的问题探讨. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(5): 1579-1589 [53] Cappelli G, Confalonieri R, Dentener F, et al. Modelling inclusion, testing and benchmarking of the impacts of ozone pollution on crop yields at regional level: Mo-dule development and testing and benchmarking with the WOFOST generic crop model. (2016) [2025-10-19]. https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:54645951 [54] Guarin JR, Kassie B, Mashaheet AM, et al. Modeling the effects of tropospheric ozone on wheat growth and yield. European Journal of Agronomy, 2019, 105: 13-23 [55] Tao FL, Feng ZZ, Tang HY, et al. Effects of climate change, CO2 and O3 on wheat productivity in Eastern China, singly and in combination. Atmospheric Environment, 2017, 153: 182-193 [56] Nguyen TH, Cappelli GA, Emberson L, et al. Assessing the spatio-temporal tropospheric ozone and drought impacts on leaf growth and grain yield of wheat across Europe through crop modeling and remote sensing data. European Journal of Agronomy, 2024, 153: 127502 [57] Pande P, Bland S, Booth N, et al. Development of the DO3SE-Crop model to assess ozone effects on crop phenology, biomass, and yield. Biogeosciences, 2025, 22: 181-212 [58] Guarin JR, Jägermeyr J, Ainsworth EA, et al. Modeling the effects of tropospheric ozone on the growth and yield of global staple crops with DSSAT v4.8.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, 17: 2547-2567 [59] Droutsas I, Challinor AJ, Arnold SR, et al. A new mo-del of ozone stress in wheat including grain yield loss and plant acclimation to the pollutant. European Journal of Agronomy, 2020, 120: 126125 [60] Kobayashi K. Modeling the effects of ozone on soybean growth and yield. Environmental Pollution, 1990, 65: 33-64 [61] Martin M, Farage P, Humphries S, et al. Can the sto-matal changes caused by acute ozone exposure be predicted by changes occurring in the mesophyll? A simplification for models of vegetation response to the global increase in tropospheric elevated ozone episodes. Functional Plant Biology, 2000, 27: 211-219 [62] Ewert F, Porter JH. Ozone effects on wheat in relation to CO2: Modelling short-term and long-term responses of leaf photosynthesis and leaf duration. Global Change Biology, 2000, 6: 735-750 [63] van Oijen M, Dreccer MF, Firsching KH, et al. Simple equations for dynamic models of the effects of CO2 and O3 on light-use efficiency and growth of crops. Ecological Modelling, 2004, 179: 39-60 [64] Osborne S, Pandey D, Mills G, et al. New insights into leaf physiological responses to ozone for use in crop modelling. Plants, 2019, 8: 84 [65] Leung F, Williams K, Sitch S, et al. Calibrating soybean parameters in JULES 5.0 from the US-Ne2/3 FLUXNET sites and the SoyFACE-O3 experiment. Geoscientific Model Development, 2020, 13: 6201-6213 [66] Feng YR, Nguyen TH, Alam MS, et al. Identifying and modelling key physiological traits that confer tolerance or sensitivity to ozone in winter wheat. Environmental Pollution, 2022, 304: 119251 [67] Betzelberger AM, Gillespie KM, McGrath JM, et al. Effects of chronic elevated ozone concentration on antioxi-dant capacity, photosynthesis and seed yield of 10 soybean cultivars. Plant, Cell & Environment, 2010, 33: 1569-1581 [68] Musselman R, Lefohn A, Massman W, et al. A critical review and analysis of the use of exposure- and flux-based ozone indices for predicting vegetation effects. Atmospheric Environment, 2006, 40: 1869-1888 [69] Barlow KM, Christy BP, O’Leary GJ, et al. Simulating the impact of extreme heat and frost events on wheat crop production: A review. Field Crops Research, 2015, 171: 109-119 [70] Tai APK, Val Martin M. Impacts of ozone air pollution and temperature extremes on crop yields: Spatial variability, adaptation and implications for future food secu-rity. Atmospheric Environment, 2017, 169: 11-21 [71] Feng PY, Wang B, Liu DL, et al. Incorporating machine learning with biophysical model can improve the evaluation of climate extremes impacts on wheat yield in south-eastern Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteo-rology, 2019, 275: 100-113 [72] Moore FC, Lobell DB. The fingerprint of climate trends on European crop yields. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2015, 112: 2670-2675 [73] Crane-Droesch A. Machine learning methods for crop yield prediction and climate change impact assessment in agriculture. Environmental Research Letters, 2018, 13: 114003 [74] Everingham Y, Sexton J, Skocaj D, et al. Accurate prediction of sugarcane yield using a random forest algorithm. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 2016, 36: 27 [75] Leng G, Hall J. Crop yield sensitivity of global major agricultural countries to droughts and the projected changes in the future. Science of the Total Environment, 2019, 654: 811-821 [76] Liu H, Xiong W, Mottaleb KA, et al. Contrasting contributions of five factors to wheat yield growth in China by process-based and statistical models. European Journal of Agronomy, 2021, 130: 126370 [77] Tai APK, Martin MV, Heald CL. Threat to future global food security from climate change and ozone air pollution. Nature Climate Change, 2014, 4: 817-821 [78] Leng G, Hall JW. Predicting spatial and temporal variability in crop yields: An inter-comparison of machine learning, regression and process-based models. Environmental Research Letters, 2020, 15: 044027 [79] Wang B, Feng P, Liu DL, et al. Sources of uncertainty for wheat yield projections under future climate are site-specific. Nature Food, 2020, 1: 720-728 [80] Roberts MJ, Braun NO, Sinclair TR, et al. Comparing and combining process-based crop models and statistical models with some implications for climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 2017, 12: 095010 [81] Shahhosseini M, Hu G, Huber I, et al. Coupling machine learning and crop modeling improves crop yield prediction in the US Corn Belt. Scientific Reports, 2021, 11: 1606 [82] Pagani V, Stella T, Guarneri T, et al. Forecasting su-garcane yields using agro-climatic indicators and Canegro model: A case study in the main production region in Brazil. Agricultural Systems, 2017, 154: 45-52 [83] Guzmán SM, Paz JO, Tagert MLM, et al. An integrated SVR and crop model to estimate the impacts of irrigation on daily groundwater levels. Agricultural Systems, 2018, 159: 248-259 [84] Li E, Zhao J, Pullens JWM, et al. The compound effects of drought and high temperature stresses will be the main constraints on maize yield in Northeast China. Science of the Total Environment, 2022, 812: 152461 [85] Bogale T, Degefa S, Dalle G, et al. Spatio-temporal variations of drought in the Welmel watershed, southeast of Ethiopia using the vegetation condition index and standardized precipitation index. Ecological Processes, 2025, 14: 37 |
| [1] | 任雨航, 张同, 廖梓延, 潘俊杰, 刘黄诚, 李金洁, 潘开文, 张林, 伍小刚. 西藏芒康滇金丝猴国家级自然保护区生态环境质量时空变化及影响因素 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2026, 37(3): 865-875. |
| [2] | 王志坤, 陈磊, 程雪莹, 夏雨, 李新举, 胡晓. 利用无人机多光谱遥感和机器学习反演矿区复垦土壤有机碳含量 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2026, 37(1): 136-144. |
| [3] | 丁司丞, 方超, 卓玛拉姆, 冯兆忠. 基于机器学习模型的农田土壤容重模拟及其影响因素 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(9): 2827-2835. |
| [4] | 左宇鑫, 刘新杰, 竞霞, 谭俊磊, 刘良云. 基于塔基高光谱观测数据和机器学习方法的气溶胶光学厚度估算 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(9): 2845-2852. |
| [5] | 黄扬, 王多聪, 欧阳晗黎, 韩建勋, 庄春义. 机器学习视角下四川省水供给服务驱动要素识别 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(7): 2171-2182. |
| [6] | 侯卓涵, 于颖, 杨曦光. 长时间序列多源遥感数据的森林干扰提取 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(6): 1722-1730. |
| [7] | 张业翔, 陈奉献, 张宇红, 陈希娟. 基于自动机器学习模型预测作物籽粒重金属浓度 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(6): 1889-1897. |
| [8] | 夏翠芬, 周文武, 舒清态, 王明星, 吴再昆, 付连进, 任承芳. 基于EBKRP法优化GEDI数据的龙竹叶绿素含量估测 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(5): 1319-1329. |
| [9] | 谭洁, 危千骏, 廖朝阳, 邝文俊, 邓慧婷, 余德. 基于XGBoost-SHAP可解释机器学习模型的城市形态与地表温度的关系 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(3): 659-670. |
| [10] | 张深林, 吴田军, 韩玲, 王刘华, 孙海莲. 内蒙古中部草地地上生物量时空变化及其驱动因素 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(11): 3315-3326. |
| [11] | 谭咏诗, 韦真茜, 肖雁, 黄玉林, 黎宗鑫, 杨舒婷, 邹林, 杨岚惠, 邓羽松. 基于高光谱和多光谱融合的喀斯特地区石灰土有机碳含量反演 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2025, 36(1): 197-207. |
| [12] | 王晓楠, 苏文浩, 董灵波. 基于随机森林的兴安落叶松天然林单木年龄预估模型 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2024, 35(4): 1055-1063. |
| [13] | 黄华雨, 丁启东, 张俊华, 潘鑫, 周跃辉, 贾科利. 基于地面高光谱的宁夏银北地区农田不同土层盐碱化信息反演 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2024, 35(11): 3073-3084. |
| [14] | 于贵瑞, 王永生, 杨萌. 生态系统质量及其状态演变的生态学理论和评估方法之探索 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2022, 33(4): 865-877. |
| [15] | 魏宇宸, 赵美芳, 朱昌达, 张秀秀, 潘剑君. 基于景观及微地形特征的丘陵区土壤属性预测 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2022, 33(2): 467-476. |
| 阅读次数 | ||||||
|
全文 |
|
|||||
|
摘要 |
|
|||||
辽公网安备21010302000574号
辽ICP备05000862号-2
版权所有 © 《应用生态学报》编辑部