1961—2017年攀西烤烟生育期农业气候资源变化特征

doi:10.13287/j.1001-9332.202007.012

应用生态学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (7): 2352-2362.doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.202007.012

1961—2017年攀西烤烟生育期农业气候资源变化特征

张玉芳^1,2,3, 杨柳⁴, 刘琰琰^5*, 张秀琼⁴, 陈超¹, 谢士娟⁴, 冯文帅⁴

¹中国气象局成都高原气象研究所/高原与盆地暴雨旱涝灾害四川省重点实验室, 成都 610072;
²南方丘区节水农业研究四川省重点实验室, 成都 610066;
³四川省农业气象中心, 成都 610072;
⁴四川省农村科技发展中心, 成都 610041;
⁵成都信息工程大学大气科学学院高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室气候与环境变化联合实验室, 成都 610225

收稿日期:2019-12-25 接受日期:2020-04-22 出版日期:2020-07-15 发布日期:2021-01-15
通讯作者: E-mail: liuyy@cuit.edu.cn
作者简介:张玉芳, 女, 1981年生, 硕士, 高级工程师。主要从事农业气象灾害风险评估研究。E-mail: 75963549@qq.com
基金资助:
第二次青藏高原综合考察研究项目(2019QZKK0608)和四川省科技厅应用基础研究项目(2018JY0341)资助

Characteristics of agricultural climate resource changes during the growth stages of tobacco during 1961-2017 in Panxi Region, China

ZHANG Yu-fang^1,2,3, YANG Liu⁴, LIU Yan-yan^5*, ZHANG Xiu-qiong⁴, CHEN Chao¹, XIE Shi-juan⁴, FENG Wen-shuai⁴

¹Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Chengdu/Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China;
²Water-Saving Agriculture in Southern Hill Area Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610066, China;
³Agro-meteorological Center of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China;
⁴ Sichuan Rural Science and Technology Development Center, Chengdu 610041, China;
⁵College of Atmospheric Science & Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, China

Received:2019-12-25 Accepted:2020-04-22 Online:2020-07-15 Published:2021-01-15
Contact: E-mail: liuyy@cuit.edu.cn
Supported by:
This work was supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (2019QZKK0608) and the Applied Basic Research of Sichuan Science and Technology Department (2018JY0341).

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 研究当地主要农作物生育期的农业气候资源变化特征,对于区域农业可持续发展具有重要意义。本研究基于四川攀西地区1961—2017年15个烤烟种植县气象站点数据,采用平均温度、平均温度日较差、缺水率和总辐射4个气候因子,分析攀西烤烟种植区全生育期及不同生育阶段光、温、水等农业气候资源时空分布状况。结果表明: 1961—2017年,攀西烤烟全生育期平均温度呈现由南至北逐渐降低的分布特点,大部分区域呈升高趋势,且显著升温的区域占播种总面积的54.5%;攀西东部大部及中部部分区域平均温度日较差呈上升趋势,且显著增大的区域占总面积的76.4%;攀西农区烤烟缺水率从南到北逐渐降低,总体呈上升趋势;攀西农区总辐射量呈现从西南到东北逐步减小趋势,其中,西南部气候倾向率为正值。研究期间,攀西烤烟平均温度在旺长-开始成熟期最高,总体均呈升高趋势;平均温度日较差在移栽-蹲苗期最大;移栽-蹲苗期的缺水率最大;开始成熟-成熟期的总辐射量最大,蹲苗-旺长期略有增长。

关键词: 气候变化, 攀西地区, 烤烟, 农业气候资源

Abstract: It is of great significance for the sustainable development of regional agriculture to understand the changes of agricultural climate resources during the growth period of local main crops. Based on data from 15 meteorological stations in tobacco planting area of Panxi region, Sichuan, from 1961 to 2017, the average temperature, diurnal temperature range, water deficit, and radiation were used to analyze the temporal and spatial distribution of agricultural climate resources such as light, temperature, and water in the whole growth period and each growth stages respectively. From 1961 to 2017, the average temperature of tobacco during the whole growth period gradually decreased from south to north in Panxi, while temperature showed an increasing trend in most areas. The area with significantly increased temperature accounted for 54.5% of the total planting area. The diurnal temperature range in most area of the eastern Panxi and some of the central Panxi showed an upward trend, and these areas accounted for 76.4% of the whole Panxi region. Water deficit gradually decreased from south to north, with an increasing trend in the whole region. The radiation during the growth stage of tobacco was high in the southwest and low in the northeast, and the climatic tendency was positive values in the southwest. During the study period, average temperature was the highest in the period from vigorous growth to the beginning of maturity, with an overall upward trend. The diurnal temperature rage and water deficit were the highest in transplanting squatting seedling stage. Radiation was the highest at the beginning of maturity, which increased slightly at the beginning of seedling growth.

Key words: climate change, Panxi region, tobacco, agricultural climate resource

张玉芳, 杨柳, 刘琰琰, 张秀琼, 陈超, 谢士娟, 冯文帅. 1961—2017年攀西烤烟生育期农业气候资源变化特征[J]. 应用生态学报, 2020, 31(7): 2352-2362.

ZHANG Yu-fang, YANG Liu, LIU Yan-yan, ZHANG Xiu-qiong, CHEN Chao, XIE Shi-juan, FENG Wen-shuai. Characteristics of agricultural climate resource changes during the growth stages of tobacco during 1961-2017 in Panxi Region, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2020, 31(7): 2352-2362.

参考文献

[1] 代姝玮, 杨晓光, 赵孟, 等. 气候变化背景下中国农业气候资源变化. Ⅱ.西南地区农业气候资源时空变化特征. 应用生态学报, 2011, 22(12): 3177-3188 [Dai S-W, Yang X-G, Zhao M, et al. Changes of China agricultural climate resources under the background of climate change. Ⅱ. Spatiotemporal change characteristics of agricultural climate resources in Southwest China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2011, 22(2): 3177-3188]
[2] He D, Wang J, Dai T, et al. Impact of climate change on maize potential productivity and the potential productivity gap in Southwest China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 2014, 28: 1155-1167
[3] 李勇, 杨晓光, 王文峰, 等. 气候变化背景下中国农业气候资源变化. Ⅰ. 华南地区农业气候资源时空变化特征. 应用生态学报, 2010, 21(10): 2605-2614 [Li Y, Yang X-G, Wang W-F, et al. Changes of China agricultural climate resources under the background of climate change. I. Spatiotemporal change characteristics of agricultural climate resources in South China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2010, 21(10): 2605-2614]
[4] 刘志娟, 杨晓光, 王文峰, 等. 气候变化背景下我国东北三省农业气候资源变化特征. 应用生态学报, 2009, 20(9): 2199-2206 [Liu Z-J, Yang X-G, Wang W-F, et al. Characteristics of agricultural climate resources in three provinces of Northeast China under global climate change. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2009, 20(9): 2199-2206]
[5] 董旭光, 李胜利, 石振彬, 等. 近50年山东省农业气候资源变化特征. 应用生态学报, 2015, 26(1): 269-277 [Dong X-G, Li S-L, Shi Z-B, et al. Change characteristics of agricultural climate resources in recent 50 years in Shandong Province, China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2015, 26(1): 269-277]
[6] 杨晓光, 刘志娟, 陈阜. 全球气候变暖对中国种植制度可能影响. Ⅵ. 未来气候变化对中国种植制度北界的可能影响. 中国农业科学, 2011, 44(8): 1562-1570 [Yang X-G, Liu Z-J, Chen F. The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China. Ⅵ. Possible effects of future climate change on northern limits of cropping system in China. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2011, 44(8): 1562-1570]
[7] 李克南, 杨晓光, 刘志娟, 等. 全球气候变化对中国种植制度可能影响分析. Ⅲ.中国北方地区气候资源变化特征及其对种植制度界限的可能影响. 中国农业科学, 2010, 43(10): 2088-2097 [Li K-N, Yang X-G, Liu Z-J, et al. Analysis of the potential influence of global climate change on cropping systems in China. Ⅲ. The change characteristics of climatic resources in northern China and its potential influence on cropping systems. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2010, 43(10): 2088-2097]
[8] 刘江, 潘宇弘, 王平华, 等. 1966—2015年辽宁省玉米气候生产潜力的时空特征. 生态学杂志, 2018, 37(11): 3396-3406 [Liu J, Pan Y-H, Wang P-H, et al. Spatial and temporal characteristics of climatic potential productivity of maize in Liaoning Province from 1966 to 2015. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2018, 37(11): 3396-3406]
[9] 赵俊芳, 郭建平, 邬定荣, 等. 2011—2050年黄淮海冬小麦、夏玉米气候生产潜力评价. 应用生态学报, 2011, 22(12): 3189-3195 [Zhao J-F, Guo J-P, Wu D-R, et al. Climatic potential productivity of winter wheat and summer maize in Huanghuaihai Plain in 2011-2050. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2011, 22(12): 3189-3195]
[10] 王恩利, 韩湘玲. 农业气候资源信息系统. 中国农业气象, 1993, 14(4): 24-29 [Wang E-L, Han X-L. Agroclimatic resource information system. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 1993, 14(4): 24-29]
[11] 陈淑全, 罗富顺, 熊志强, 等. 四川气候. 成都: 四川科学技术出版社, 1997 [Chen S-Q, Luo F-S, Xiong Z-Q, et al. Sichuan Climate. Chengdu: Sichuan Science and Technology Press, 1997]
[12] 刘琰琰, 李海燕, 陈超, 等. 攀西地区烤烟气候适宜性评价指标建立及应用. 四川农业大学学报, 2015, 33(3): 299-303 [Liu Y-Y, Li H-Y, Chen C, et al. Establishment and application of climatic suitability indicator of flue-cured tobacco in Panxi region. Journal of Sichuan Agricultural University, 2015, 33(3): 299-303]
[13] 黄中艳, 朱勇, 邓云龙. 云南烤烟大田期气候对烟叶品质的影响. 中国农业气象, 2008, 29(4): 440-445 [Huang Z-Y, Zhu Y, Deng Y-L. Influence of climate during field growing season on quality of tobacco leaf in Yunnan Province. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2008, 29(4): 440-445]
[14] 张家智, 张茂松. 气候变暖对云南烤烟生产影响的初步分析. 气象与环境科学, 2007, 30(4): 17-19 [Zhang J-Z, Zhang M-S. Influence of climate warming to tobacco production of Yunnan. Meteorological and Environmental Sciences, 2007, 30(4): 17-19]
[15] 梁玉莲, 韩明臣, 白龙, 等. 中国近30年农业气候资源时空变化特征. 干旱地区农业研究, 2015, 33(4): 259-267 [Liang Y-L, Han M-C, Bai L, et al. Spatial-temporal distribution and variation characteristics of the agricultural climate resources over recent 30 years in China. Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas, 2015, 33(4): 259-267]
[16] 初征, 郭建平, 赵俊芳, 等. 东北地区未来气候变化对农业气候资源的影响. 地理学报, 2017, 72(7): 1248-1260 [Chu Z, Guo J-P, Zhao J-F, et al. Impacts of projected climate change on agricultural climate resources in Northeast China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(7): 1248-1260]
[17] 王鹤玲, 张强, 王润元, 等.气候变化对甘肃省农业气候资源和主要作物栽培格局的影响. 生态学报, 2017, 37(18): 6099-6110 [Wang H-L, Zhang Q, Wang R-Y, et al. Effects of climate change on agro climatic resources and potential primary cropping patterns in Gansu Province. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2017, 37(18): 6099-6110]
[18] 艾治勇, 郭夏宇, 刘文祥, 等. 农业气候资源变化对双季稻生产的可能影响分析. 自然资源学报, 2014, 29(12): 2089-2102 [Ai Z-Y, Guo X-Y, Liu W-X, et al. Analysis on possible influences of agricultural climate resources change on double-season rice production. Journal of Natural Resources, 2014, 29(12): 2089-2102]
[19] 陈超, 庞艳梅, 潘学标, 等. 气候变化背景下四川省单季稻水分盈亏的变化特征. 自然资源学报, 2014, 29(9): 1508-1519 [Chen C, Pang Y-M, Pan X-B, et al. Variation characteristics of single cropping rice water surplus deficit under the background of climate change in Sichuan Province. Journal of Natural Resources, 2014, 29(9): 1508-1519]
[20] 张玉芳, 王锐婷, 陈东东, 等. 利用水分盈亏指数评估四川盆地玉米生育期干旱状况. 中国农业气象, 2011, 32(4): 615-620 [Zhang Y-F, Wang R-T, Chen D-D, et al. Evaluation on drought at maize growth stage in Sichuan basin based on water budget index. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology, 2011, 32(4): 615-620]
[21] 王明田, 曲辉辉, 杨晓光, 等. 基于降水保证指数的四川省种植制度优化研究. 西北农林科技大学学报, 2012, 40(10): 82-91 [Wang M-T, Qu H-H, Yang X-G, et al. Optimized cropping systems based on ensure index of precipitation in Sichuan Province. Journal of Northwest A&F University, 2012, 40(10): 82-91]
[22] Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, et al. Crop Evapotranspiration: Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations, 1998
[23] Smith M. CROPWAT: A Computer Program for Irrigation Planning and Management. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 1992
[24] 李勇, 杨晓光, 叶清, 等. 1961—2007年长江中下游地区水稻需水量的变化特征. 农业工程学报, 2011, 27(9): 175-183 [Li Y, Yang X-G, Ye Q, et al. Varia-tion characteristics of rice water requirement in middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River during 1961-2007.Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2011, 27(9): 175-183]
[25] 陈超, 庞艳梅, 潘学标, 等. 气候变化背景下四川省气候资源变化趋势分析. 资源科学, 2011, 33(7): 1310-1316 [Chen C, Pang Y-M, Pan X-B, et al. Characteristics of climate resources under global climate change in Sichuan Province. Journal of Natural Resource, 2011, 33(7): 1310-1316]
[26] 杨恕良, 黄肈玉, 唐远驹, 等. 贵州烤烟品质与气候关系的研究. 农业气象, 1987, 12(2): 7-10 [Yang S-L, Huang Z-Y, Tang Y-J, et al. A study on the relationship between quality of tobacco and climate in Guizhou Province. Agrometeorology, 1987, 12(2): 7-10]
[27] 张永安, 王瑞强, 张述元, 等. 生态因子与烤烟中性挥发性香气物质的关系研究. 安徽农业科学, 2006, 34(18): 4652-4654 [Zhang Y-A, Wang R-Q, Zhang S-Y, et al. Study on the relationship between ecological factors and neutral volatile aroma compounds in Flue-cured Tobacco. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2006, 34(18): 4652-4654]
[28] 熊志强, 张顺谦, 邓彪. 合理开发四川攀西优势气候资源发展特色农业. 西南农业学报, 2003, 16(2): 107-110 [Xiong Z-Q, Zhang S-Q, Deng B. Rational exploitation of superior climate resources for developing characteristic agriculture in Panxi region of Sichuan Province. Southwest China Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2003, 16(2): 107-110]
[29] 金垚, 张玉芳, 刘琰琰, 等. 攀西地区烤烟气候减产风险分析和区划. 江苏农业科学, 2019, 47(16): 260-263 [Jin Y, Zhang Y-F, Liu Y-Y, et al. Risk analysis and regionalization of climate reduction of flue-cured tobacco in Panxi Area. Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences, 2019, 47(16): 260-263]
[30] 张玉芳, 刘琰琰, 杜成勋, 等. 烤烟移栽期干旱监测评估模型研究及在攀西地区的应用. 西南农业学报, 2019, 32(2): 286-290 [Zhang Y-F, Liu Y-Y, Du C-X, et al. Study of drought monitoring evaluation model during tobacco transplanting and its application. Southwest China Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2019, 32(2): 286-290]
[31] 陈超, 庞艳梅, 刘琰琰, 等. 攀西烤烟生产对气候变化的敏感性和脆弱性研究. 中国农学通报, 2017, 33(4): 111-118 [Chen C, Pang Y-M, Liu Y-Y, et al. Sensitivity and vulnerability of flue-cured tobacco production to climate change in Panxi. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2017, 33(4): 111-118]

1961—2017年攀西烤烟生育期农业气候资源变化特征

Characteristics of agricultural climate resource changes during the growth stages of tobacco during 1961-2017 in Panxi Region, China

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	李京忠, 辛振华, 谢潇, 薛冰, 任婉侠. 半干旱区植被覆盖时空变化特征及其对气候变化的响应: 以锡林郭勒盟为例 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2024, 35(1): 80-86.
[2]	杨振康, 杨婉蓉, 刘志娟, 高伟达, 任图生, 沈彦俊, 杨晓光. 气候变化对东北三省土壤风蚀的影响 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(9): 2429-2435.
[3]	冷鹏, 王建青, 谭云燕, 邵亚军, 王丽燕, 施秀珍, 张国友. 大气CO₂和O₃浓度升高对水稻根际土壤胞外酶活性的影响 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(8): 2185-2193.
[4]	邢衍阔, 康斌, 鹿志创, 高祥刚, 王震, 田甲申. 气候变化条件下太平洋丽龟的适宜生境及其变化 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(8): 2267-2273.
[5]	夏卓异, 苏杰, 尹海伟, 孔繁花. 气候变化背景下中国朱鹮适宜生境时空格局 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(6): 1467-1473.
[6]	张辉盛, 徐琳, 吕韦韦, 周昱, 王卫锋, 高瑞贺, 崔绍朋, 张志伟. 扶桑绵粉蚧多维气候生态位保守性与入侵风险 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(6): 1649-1658.
[7]	王子文, 尹进, 王星, 陈越, 毛子昆, 蔺菲, 巩宗强, 王绪高. 辽宁省入侵植物曼陀罗的生境适宜性评价——基于Biomod2组合模型 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(5): 1272-1280.
[8]	李春波, 张园, 刘雅各, 吴家兵, 王安志. 长白山自然保护区总初级生产力时空变化特征及其影响因素 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(5): 1341-1348.
[9]	白金珂, 李笑雨, 王力. 1980s与2020s青藏高原南部土壤质量变化 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(5): 1367-1374.
[10]	凌子尧, 彭立华, 文慧. 不同城市功能区实施屋顶绿化的雨洪调控效应比较 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(2): 491-498.
[11]	王钧, 李广, 闫丽娟, 刘强, 聂志刚. 气候变化背景下甘肃农牧交错带玉米气候生产潜力和资源利用效率变化特征 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2023, 34(1): 160-168.
[12]	黄辉, 郑昌玲, 张劲松, 孟平. 1980—2019年南太行地区气候变化趋势 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2022, 33(8): 2139-2145.
[13]	刘杰, 汲玉河, 周广胜, 周莉, 吕晓敏, 周梦子. 2000—2020年青藏高原植被净初级生产力时空变化及其气候驱动作用 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2022, 33(6): 1533-1538.
[14]	刘杰, 董彦君, 李宗善. 灌木年轮生态学研究进展 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2022, 33(6): 1699-1708.
[15]	刘梅朔, 王传宽, 全先奎. 兴安落叶松叶光合与氮代谢对环境变化响应的转录组分析 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2022, 33(4): 957-962.