应用生态学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (7): 2457-2469.doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201907.040
蒋丽华1, 高俊琴1*, 万基中1,2
收稿日期:
2019-02-01
出版日期:
2019-07-15
发布日期:
2019-07-15
通讯作者:
* E-mail: gaojq@bjfu.edu.cn
作者简介:
蒋丽华,女,1993年生,硕士研究生.主要从事生物多样性保护及湿地生态学研究.E-mail:jianglihua@bjfu.edu.cn
基金资助:
JIANG Li-hua1, GAO Jun-qin1*, WAN Ji-zhong1,2
Received:
2019-02-01
Online:
2019-07-15
Published:
2019-07-15
Contact:
* E-mail: gaojq@bjfu.edu.cn
摘要: 为了解气候变化对大兴安岭地区鹤类潜在分布的影响,促进其有效保护,本文以大兴安岭地区6种鹤为研究对象,基于Pearson相关性分析和Jackknife分析,筛选气候、地形和植被类型等关键环境因子,采用MaxEnt模型模拟了当前和未来两种气候变化情景(RCP4.5和8.5)下6种鹤的潜在分布区域,通过Zonation和ArcGIS软件确定了其优先保护区域并分析了目标优先保护区域.结果表明:当前气候条件下,6种鹤的潜在适宜生境集中分布于大兴安岭中部和西北部;RCP4.5和RCP8.5气候情景下,6种鹤的高适宜生境将缩减.白头鹤、丹顶鹤、白枕鹤、灰鹤和蓑羽鹤的潜在适宜生境整体呈缩减趋势,而白鹤的潜在适宜生境将比当前扩张5.4%~6.3%;当前及未来气候条件下,6种鹤的优先保护区域主要分布于大兴安岭的西北部、东南部以及中部偏西地区,目标优先保护区域的保护率达20.1%~23.8%,保护空缺主要分布于漠河县西部、额尔古纳市中部偏北地区、根河市中东部、牙克石市东北部和鄂伦春自治旗南部,建议适当增加保护地面积,为鹤类的有效保护提供保障.
蒋丽华, 高俊琴, 万基中. 气候变化下大兴安岭地区鹤类潜在分布及优先保护区[J]. 应用生态学报, 2019, 30(7): 2457-2469.
JIANG Li-hua, GAO Jun-qin, WAN Ji-zhong. Potential habitat and priority protection area of cranes with climate change in the Great Xing’an Mountains, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2019, 30(7): 2457-2469.
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